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NASA Urged to Reconsider Hubble Decision

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Scott M. Kozel - 29 Jan 2004 02:37 GMT
http://www.sunspot.net/news/health/bal-hubble0128,0,6220079.story?coll=bal-local
-headlines


"NASA urged to reconsider Hubble decision"
The Associated Press
January 28, 2004

Maryland's congressional delegation sent a letter to NASA administrator
Sean O'Keefe urging him to reconsider the space agency's recent decision
to cancel the final servicing mission for the Hubble Space Telescope.

"The scientific returns we have received from Hubble's service thus far
have exceeded our expectations. Given the President's recent
pronouncement of a vision to rededicate the Nation's commitment to space
exploration, we believe that NASA should make every possible effort to
retain this proven window on the universe," reads the letter, which was
sent Tuesday and made available to The Associated Press on Wednesday.

Earlier this month, NASA announced it won't send the space shuttle in
2006 to service the orbiting telescope, a mission needed to enable it to
keep operating. Without the servicing mission the orbiting telescope is
expected to stop working several years before its scheduled 2010
retirement.

Hubble's scientific operations are conducted at the Space Telescope
Science Institute, located at Johns Hopkins University in Baltimore. The
telescope is managed and operated by the Goddard Space Flight Center in
Greenbelt.

After NASA's decision was announced, Mikulski, the ranking minority
member of the Senate Appropriations subcommittee that oversees NASA's
budget, sent a letter to O'Keefe last week, asking him to reconsider the
decision.

The Baltimore Democrat said she was shocked by the decision given the
extraordinary contributions to science by the Hubble, which has
revolutionized the study of astronomy with its striking images of the
universe. Mikulski is also scheduled to meet with employees of the Space
Telescope Science Institute on Friday.

The lawmakers noted the next generation space telescope, the James Webb
Telescope, is not scheduled to be launched until 2010, several years
after the Hubble is now expected to stop working.

"The gap created between the operation of these two telescopes will rob
scientists of several years of invaluable data," the letter reads.

The lawmakers also noted about $200 million has already been spent on
two new instruments that were to be brought to the Hubble by the space
shuttle, and it may cost more than $300 million for a mission to return
the Hubble safely to earth.

"In light of these costs, which total approximately a half-billion
dollars, as well as the several decades of funding already devoted to
Hubble, a decision to cancel the Hubble program several years shy of its
goal appears to make little economic sense," the letter reads.

In addition to Mikulski, the letter was signed by Sen. Paul S. Sarbanes
and Representatives Steny Hoyer, Ben Cardin, Wayne Gilchrest, Roscoe
Bartlett, Albert Wynn, Elijah Cummings, C.A. "Dutch" Ruppersberger and
Chris Van Hollen.

[end of article]

--
Scott M. Kozel    Highway and Transportation History Websites
Virginia/Maryland/Washington, D.C. http://www.roadstothefuture.com
Philadelphia and Delaware Valley   http://www.pennways.com
Hansel - 29 Jan 2004 07:49 GMT
It's silly isn't it... You know any savings from the launch will just fall
thru the cracks, so what do they do with the stuff they already got built?
Seems like an aweful waste to me.

Kris
my Energia HLLV site: http://www.k26.com/buran/

http://www.sunspot.net/news/health/bal-hubble0128,0,6220079.story?coll=bal-local
-headlines


> "NASA urged to reconsider Hubble decision"
> The Associated Press
[quoted text clipped - 61 lines]
> Virginia/Maryland/Washington, D.C. http://www.roadstothefuture.com
> Philadelphia and Delaware Valley   http://www.pennways.com
Eric Pederson - 29 Jan 2004 18:06 GMT
> It's silly isn't it... You know any savings from the launch will just fall
> thru the cracks, so what do they do with the stuff they already got built?
[quoted text clipped - 4 lines]
>
> http://www.sunspot.net/news/health/bal-hubble0128,0,6220079.story?coll=bal-local
-headlines

<snip above article>

The issue is not the cost of the extra flight, but that of the
additional safety hoops the current environment would demand for
such a "unique" flight.  The shuttle is basically required to
complete the ISS, and in the remaining "life span" ,as dictated by
the CAIB and reinforced by the President's speech, there are not
many non-ISS slots available.  

How many of the congress folk quoted in this article joined the "how
could NASA let this happen" dog pile following the Columbia breakup?  
Funny how their tune changes when the solution negatively affects
folks in their districts.  If they really want to save Hubble, maybe
they should be supporting a faster schedule for the proposed ApolloR2
vehicle as a ISS/shuttle assured return vehicle.  Mostly I suspect
that this was simply a "free" opportunity to whine about the actions
of the current administration without having to commit to an
alternative solution.
Henry Spencer - 29 Jan 2004 21:43 GMT
>...The shuttle is basically required to
>complete the ISS, and in the remaining "life span" ,as dictated by
>the CAIB and reinforced by the President's speech, there are not
>many non-ISS slots available.  

The number of flights available is not something that is dictated by God;
it is itself a decision.  A modest investment of additional resources can
make more flight slots available, within limits.
Signature

MOST launched 30 June; science observations running     |   Henry Spencer
since Oct; first surprises seen; papers pending.        | henry@spsystems.net

Brian Gaff - 29 Jan 2004 08:09 GMT
I suspect a lot will depend on who is in the Whitehouse after the election.

I'd be amazed if they could not actually find the people willing to crew the
mission, I guess it really depends on the availability of a Shuttle and the
cost commitment involved, not any eye on safety.

Brian

--
Brian Gaff....
graphics are great, but the blind can't hear them
Email: briang1@blueyonder.co.uk
____________________________________________________________________________
__________________________________

http://www.sunspot.net/news/health/bal-hubble0128,0,6220079.story?coll=bal-l
ocal-headlines

| "NASA urged to reconsider Hubble decision"
| The Associated Press
[quoted text clipped - 61 lines]
| Virginia/Maryland/Washington, D.C. http://www.roadstothefuture.com
| Philadelphia and Delaware Valley   http://www.pennways.com
Albert Blauensteiner - 29 Jan 2004 10:30 GMT
IMHO a further HST service mission would not take any more risks like the
five previous HST successful missions
(including launch) especially the foam issue is solved.

albert

> I suspect a lot will depend on who is in the Whitehouse after the election.
>
> I'd be amazed if they could not actually find the people willing to crew the
> mission, I guess it really depends on the availability of a Shuttle and the
> cost commitment involved, not any eye on safety.
John Doe - 29 Jan 2004 11:07 GMT
The one issue I can see is that of schedule. It isn't just a question of
slotting a shuttle to go up there, but also ensuring that the mission occurs
after NASA has completed development of independant inspection/repair capabilities.

Consider that NASA was very lucky that the shuttle was grounded at a time when
the station was symetrically assembled. Had the truss been asymetrical, it
would have posed interesting issue, especially when you consider the CMGs's
fragile health.

With the requirement to launch daytime, this may present interesting
scheduling requirements between ISS and Hubble launches as well as maintenance schedules.

On the other hand, if on can launch hubble during a long period when you can't
go to ISS due to daytime launch requirement, it would not have much impact on
ISS assembly.
John - 07 Feb 2004 13:50 GMT
> With the requirement to launch daytime, this may present interesting
> scheduling requirements between ISS and Hubble launches as well as maintenance schedules.
>
> On the other hand, if on can launch hubble during a long period when you can't
> go to ISS due to daytime launch requirement, it would not have much impact on
> ISS assembly.

I was under the impression that *only* STS-114 had the daytime launch
requirement....from then on out it'll be back to whenever is
necessary.
Hubble repair flights have all launched and landed at night, but I'm
sure that's more of a coincidence...or is it??
John
Jorge R. Frank - 07 Feb 2004 16:17 GMT
> I was under the impression that *only* STS-114 had the daytime launch
> requirement....from then on out it'll be back to whenever is
> necessary.

The daytime launch requirement will remain in place until NASA is confident
that it can get adequate ascent photography at night.

> Hubble repair flights have all launched and landed at night, but I'm
> sure that's more of a coincidence...or is it??

Ground-up rendezvous launch windows shift predictably around the clock due
to the Earth's equatorial bulge. The shift is a function of the altitude
and inclination of the target vehicle's orbit: ~24 minutes per day for ISS,
~30 for HST. So, whether a given launch occurs during day or night depends
totally on the launch date.

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Jan C. Vorbrüggen - 09 Feb 2004 08:19 GMT
> The daytime launch requirement will remain in place until NASA is confident
> that it can get adequate ascent photography at night.

Sounds to me like "never a night-time launch again", then - it seems extremely
difficult to obtain images with sufficient contrast without ambient lighting.

    Jan
Jorge R. Frank - 09 Feb 2004 14:22 GMT
>> The daytime launch requirement will remain in place until NASA is
>> confident that it can get adequate ascent photography at night.
>
> Sounds to me like "never a night-time launch again", then - it seems
> extremely difficult to obtain images with sufficient contrast without
> ambient lighting.

Difficult, but not impossible with aerial photography. The SRBs provide
more than enough light to illuminate the stack; the big problem is that
ground-based cameras have to look up through the plume. NASA plans to use
WB-57 aircraft to get night photos, but this capability won't be validated
in time for return-to-flight.

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Hallerb - 07 Feb 2004 16:52 GMT
>I was under the impression that *only* STS-114 had the daytime launch
>requirement....from then on out it'll be back to whenever is
>necessary.

No daylight is now mandatory
John Doe - 29 Jan 2004 12:47 GMT
The BBC has an interesting article about mounting support for Hubble,
including a petition.

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/low/science/nature/3437309.stm

Save the Hubble' campaign soars

By Dr David Whitehouse
BBC News Online science editor

A petition website calling for the Hubble Space Telescope to be saved is
attracting a growing number of hits.

http://www.SaveTheHubble.com was established by University of Brasilia
lecturer Fernando Ribeiro following the US space agency's decision to abandon
the scope.

"I hope it will become a forum about Hubble's prospects and a launch pad (so
to speak) for a campaign to save it."

Left alone, Hubble, called the most important scientific instrument ever,
could only survive another three years.

Safety concerns

Astronomers were stunned when Nasa's chief, Sean O'Keefe, decided on 16
January to cancel the fifth, and final, visit of the space shuttle to service
the Hubble Space Telescope (HST).

A service call is essential to ensure Hubble's smooth operation until the end
of the decade.

The telescope has only three working gyroscopes, down from its compliment of
six, and cannot afford to lose any more.

" Let the voters say: "We don't want to go to the moon! We want to go to
infinity and beyond!" "
Fernando Ribeiro

O'Keefe decided that in the wake of the Columbia disaster it was unwise to
send astronauts on a shuttle mission that could not reach the safety of the
International Space Station in the event of a problem.

Dismayed astronomers understood O'Keefe's logic, but many pointed out that
there would now be a gap of several years between the demise of Hubble and its
replacement reaching orbit.

They also wondered if there was any way to save the telescope.

Noise from Brazil

In Brazil, Fernando Ribeiro also wondered if Hubble could be saved.

"The HST is such an important, complex, fascinating and cost/benefit effective
instrument that it is hard to imagine someone could ever suggest it should be
dumped into the ocean, let alone Nasa itself," he told BBC News Online.

"I am fan of science and of space. I was standing in front of a huge black and
white TV set when Neil Armstrong took the small step (or the giant leap if you
prefer) on the Moon. I was seven and never forgot the thrill of the moment."

Mr Ribeiro first heard about Hubble's demise from the internet.

"I sat in front of the monitor and stared at it for several minutes
recollecting all the facts I knew about Hubble. Its planning, building, the
flawed mirror, the device to fix it, the book I had: Gems of the Hubble. I
thought about the loss it meant to the whole human
race."

So www.SaveTheHubble.com was born.

"I imagined that it could be a good idea to build up a site where people could
voice their feelings and ideas about the whole story. My role would be to put
together as many references as I could about the struggle to save the
telescope."

"There has been an exponential growth of the public outcry in favour of the
instrument, and it is just the beginning! Since the matter is obviously
political, public pressure will certainly play a big role, especially in an
election year."

The petition will be sent to Nasa and US politicians.

"Let the voters say: 'We don't want to go to the moon! We want to go to
infinity and beyond!'," said Mr Ribeiro.
Joseph S. Powell, III - 29 Jan 2004 16:42 GMT
So just slip one extra Shuttle mission in with the rest - the Hubble's good
science, and more importantly for NASA, good PR.

> The BBC has an interesting article about mounting support for Hubble,
> including a petition.
[quoted text clipped - 81 lines]
> "Let the voters say: 'We don't want to go to the moon! We want to go to
> infinity and beyond!'," said Mr Ribeiro.
Bruce Sterling Woodcock - 30 Jan 2004 10:17 GMT
> So just slip one extra Shuttle mission in with the rest - the Hubble's good
> science, and more importantly for NASA, good PR.

Unless we lose another orbiter and 7 astronauts because
we couldn't inspect and repair tile damage on-orbit
without an ISS visit.

Or unless we spend potentially $1B dollars to specifically
design and implement a non-ISS on-orbit inspection,
repair, and potential rescue scheme, which would only
be used ONCE.  To keep the HST operating for 4-10
more years at a cost of $250M/year.

These billions could be spent more wisely on other
programs.

Bruce
Chris Bennetts - 30 Jan 2004 22:14 GMT
> Unless we lose another orbiter and 7 astronauts because
> we couldn't inspect and repair tile damage on-orbit
[quoted text clipped - 5 lines]
> be used ONCE.  To keep the HST operating for 4-10
> more years at a cost of $250M/year.

What is your proposed inspection/repair system in case of an ATO abort on a
station mission? You can't make it to the station, and you may have
catastrophic TPS damage. What do you do?

ISTM that a standalone tile-repair solution is required *even for station
missions*.

--Chris
Jorge R. Frank - 31 Jan 2004 04:02 GMT
>> Unless we lose another orbiter and 7 astronauts because
>> we couldn't inspect and repair tile damage on-orbit
[quoted text clipped - 12 lines]
> ISTM that a standalone tile-repair solution is required *even for
> station missions*.

Not quite. If that were the case, standalone capability would be required
prior to RTF, and there would have been no need for the CAIB to distinguish
them. The CAIB recommendation was that a standalone repair capability be in
place prior to the first non-ISS flight. Their *intent* was that such
capability also be available for subsequent ISS flights that, for whatever
reason, could not reach ISS. We are now seeing the cascading effects of the
law of *unintended* consequences, as applied to that recommendation.

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Chris Bennetts - 31 Jan 2004 10:27 GMT
> Not quite. If that were the case, standalone capability would be required
> prior to RTF, and there would have been no need for the CAIB to distinguish
[quoted text clipped - 3 lines]
> reason, could not reach ISS. We are now seeing the cascading effects of the
> law of *unintended* consequences, as applied to that recommendation.

So is the standalone capability dead? From a casual viewpoint, the RMS
extension looked like being the most useful repair technique, even at the
station.

--Chris
Dale - 31 Jan 2004 10:54 GMT
>Not quite. If that were the case, standalone capability would be required
>prior to RTF, and there would have been no need for the CAIB to distinguish
[quoted text clipped - 3 lines]
>reason, could not reach ISS. We are now seeing the cascading effects of the
>law of *unintended* consequences, as applied to that recommendation.

Are you expecting/hoping that Admiral Gehman might clarify things in his
response to O'Keefe about reconsidering the servicing mission?

Dale
Dale - 31 Jan 2004 11:58 GMT
On Sat, 31 Jan 2004 02:54:25 -0800, I wrote:

>>Not quite. If that were the case, standalone capability would be required
>>prior to RTF, and there would have been no need for the CAIB to distinguish
[quoted text clipped - 6 lines]
>Are you expecting/hoping that Admiral Gehman might clarify things in his
>response to O'Keefe about reconsidering the servicing mission?

Sorry- I would suck as a journalist. Maybe I could followup. If the assumption
of the CAIB was that a stand-alone capability would be developed for the
Hubble mission, and that that capability would be needed for the remainder of
STS's life, shouldn't they still require the stand-alone capability to be
developed regardless of whether they fly to Hubble or not?

And if that is the case, is the difficulty/expense of developing this the main
reason the Hubble mission was cancelled? Is it so difficult that it may never
be developed, and perhaps should really be a "show-stopper"?

Dale
Bruce Sterling Woodcock - 31 Jan 2004 13:28 GMT
> > Unless we lose another orbiter and 7 astronauts because
> > we couldn't inspect and repair tile damage on-orbit
[quoted text clipped - 9 lines]
> station mission? You can't make it to the station, and you may have
> catastrophic TPS damage. What do you do?

You wing it.  But that's an emergency situation.

> ISTM that a standalone tile-repair solution is required *even for station
> missions*.

You are incorrect.  It's not.

Bruce
Mark Lopa - 29 Jan 2004 16:53 GMT
Plus, it would be a real shame not to get this into the Smithsonian. I think everyone just
assumed this would happen. But would that have to be an entire mission itself...just to bring
it back?

I agree with another post...I astronauts would jump at the opportuity to not only fly a
mission to service the HST, but to also bring it home. If I wold hate to see it just die and
burn up, I can't image how folks in the organization feel.

Mark
Hallerb - 29 Jan 2004 17:36 GMT
>Plus, it would be a real shame not to get this into the Smithsonian. I think
>everyone just
>assumed this would happen. But would that have to be an entire mission
>itself...just to bring
>it back?

Use the ghubble retrieval to launch something else firstr then pick up hubble
and bring it home
Mike Dicenso - 29 Jan 2004 19:52 GMT
> Plus, it would be a real shame not to get this into the Smithsonian. I think everyone just
> assumed this would happen. But would that have to be an entire mission itself...just to bring
> it back?

The short answer is yes. It would require a whole new mission above and
beyond any service mission which might be flown. And it would likely
require a series of EVAs to remove and jettison some of the instruments to
bring the HST's weight in line with CG requirements. The other alternative
being explored is the development of an unmanned deorbit stage that would
be launched on an ELV, automatically dock with HST, and then deorbit the
observatory into an area of the Pacific ocean where debris will not pose a
hazard.

> I agree with another post...I astronauts would jump at the opportuity to not only fly a
> mission to service the HST, but to also bring it home. If I wold hate to see it just die and
> burn up, I can't image how folks in the organization feel.

I think they just want to ensure having a productive observatory until at
least the James Webb Telescope is launched and proven to be doing well on
it's own. That means that Hubble has to last until 2011 at the earliest.
-Mike
Brian Thorn - 29 Jan 2004 23:05 GMT
>I agree with another post...I astronauts would jump at the opportuity to not only fly a
>mission to service the HST, but to also bring it home.

The astronaut corps evidently has already weighed-in against a Hubble
Retrieval Mission. I'm sure they'd agree to fly SM-4, but they clearly
are against risking their lives just to bring home a trophy for the
Smithsonian.

>If I wold hate to see it just die and
>burn up, I can't image how folks in the organization feel.

Hubble is a great instrument, but what makes the Hubble team special
compared to, say, the IRAS, COBE, or Compton folks?

Brian
rk - 30 Jan 2004 00:43 GMT
>>If I wold hate to see it just die and burn up, I can't image how folks
>>in the organization feel.
>
> Hubble is a great instrument, but what makes the Hubble team special
> compared to, say, the IRAS, COBE, or Compton folks?

And for deep space missions, they deliberately crashed Galileo and Magellan.  
Lunar Prospector too at the Moon.

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Jonathan Silverlight - 30 Jan 2004 08:10 GMT
>>>If I wold hate to see it just die and burn up, I can't image how folks
>>>in the organization feel.
[quoted text clipped - 4 lines]
>And for deep space missions, they deliberately crashed Galileo and Magellan.
>Lunar Prospector too at the Moon.

Galileo and Magellan were at the absolute end of their missions, and the
method of destruction was designed to produce the maximum reward.
Similarly, any infrared telescope has a strictly defined lifespan.
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Rand Simberg - 30 Jan 2004 01:18 GMT
On Thu, 29 Jan 2004 17:05:58 -0600, in a place far, far away, Brian
Thorn <bthorn64@cox.net> made the phosphor on my monitor glow in such
a way as to indicate that:

>>I agree with another post...I astronauts would jump at the opportuity to not only fly a
>>mission to service the HST, but to also bring it home.
[quoted text clipped - 3 lines]
>are against risking their lives just to bring home a trophy for the
>Smithsonian.

Then I'd say we need some new astronauts.  They've certainly risked
their lives for lesser causes, and I'd risk my life just to go into
space.
Invid Fan - 30 Jan 2004 22:43 GMT
> On Thu, 29 Jan 2004 17:05:58 -0600, in a place far, far away, Brian
> Thorn <bthorn64@cox.net> made the phosphor on my monitor glow in such
[quoted text clipped - 12 lines]
> their lives for lesser causes, and I'd risk my life just to go into
> space.

So I'm glad you're willing to risk theirs :) When the new Smithsonian
museum opened it was mentioned that Hubble wouldn't be brought back
down, as iirc the shuttle has never landed with that much weight in it
and it just wasn't worth the risk. I'd like to bring it down, but I
have an image of it not tied down enough in the cargo bay and shifting
at the wrong time...

Signature

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Chris Bennetts - 30 Jan 2004 23:36 GMT
> So I'm glad you're willing to risk theirs :) When the new Smithsonian
> museum opened it was mentioned that Hubble wouldn't be brought back
> down, as iirc the shuttle has never landed with that much weight in it
> and it just wasn't worth the risk.

This claim doesn't stand up to scrutiny. It's been waved about these parts
on a regular basis of late, and it's time to debunk it.

According to Jenkins' Space Shuttle, 3rd ed., the landing weight of STS-31R
- Hubble's deployment mission - was 189,118 lbs, and the payload (including
Hubble and some smaller bits and pieces) was 25,517 lbs. According to
http://hubble.nasa.gov/faq.html, Hubble weighs about 24,000 lbs on orbit
now, but I'll go the higher figure. So in the STS-31R configuration, we
would be looking at a potential landing weight of 214,635 lbs.

According to Jenkins' book, during the first 100 flights there were *forty*
missions with landing weights over that! A few had landing weights over
230,000 lbs. So it appears that landing weight isn't the great problem it's
made out to be.

> I'd like to bring it down, but I
> have an image of it not tied down enough in the cargo bay and shifting
> at the wrong time...

Not to worry, the weight isn't an issue, and Hubble would be secured with
the same payload bay attachments it was launched with.

--Chris
Mike Dicenso - 31 Jan 2004 00:42 GMT
> > On Thu, 29 Jan 2004 17:05:58 -0600, in a place far, far away, Brian
> > Thorn <bthorn64@cox.net> made the phosphor on my monitor glow in such
[quoted text clipped - 19 lines]
> have an image of it not tied down enough in the cargo bay and shifting
> at the wrong time...

It's not the weight, it's the center of gravity (CG) that's a concern.
Many shuttle missions have landed with weights comparable to, or greater
than HSTs, but had a different weight distribution so that the CG would
not be too far foward and stress out the foward landing gear or something
like that.
-Mike
Chris Bennetts - 31 Jan 2004 01:08 GMT
> It's not the weight, it's the center of gravity (CG) that's a concern.
> Many shuttle missions have landed with weights comparable to, or greater
> than HSTs, but had a different weight distribution so that the CG would
> not be too far foward and stress out the foward landing gear or something
> like that.

Handling in flight is a bigger concern than on the runway. Still, the
shuttle was certified to launch with Hubble, and that certification meant
that the shuttle was permitted to perform a reentry with the payload still
on board. If the mass distribution of Hubble hasn't changed much since it
was deployed, then it shouldn't be a major issue.

--Chris
Jorge R. Frank - 31 Jan 2004 04:21 GMT
> When the new Smithsonian
> museum opened it was mentioned that Hubble wouldn't be brought back
> down, as iirc the shuttle has never landed with that much weight in it
> and it just wasn't worth the risk.

Incorrect. HST was carried *up* in a shuttle, and the payload upmass is
*always* within landing limits, in the event an engine failure during
ascent forces an abort landing with the payload still in the bay.

HST's size (read *volume*) is deceiving. The telescope tube is mostly empty
space; HST's *mass* (11,000 kg) is *far* lighter than many other payloads
that have flown in the shuttle. It's less than half the mass of Chandra/IUS
from STS-93, for example.

> I'd like to bring it down, but I
> have an image of it not tied down enough in the cargo bay and shifting
> at the wrong time...

Why would you think that? Once again, HST was carried *up* in a shuttle,
and ascent loads are worse than entry loads. HST still has the trunnion
pins used to secure it in the payload bay for ascent; *why* do you think it
would need to be "tied down" for entry?

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Rand Simberg - 31 Jan 2004 07:31 GMT
On Fri, 30 Jan 2004 17:43:03 -0500, in a place far, far away, Invid
Fan <invid@localnet.com> made the phosphor on my monitor glow in such
a way as to indicate that:

>> >The astronaut corps evidently has already weighed-in against a Hubble
>> >Retrieval Mission. I'm sure they'd agree to fly SM-4, but they clearly
[quoted text clipped - 6 lines]
>
>So I'm glad you're willing to risk theirs :)

I'm willing to risk those who are willing to risk their own.  "The
astronaut corps" is not a monolithic entity.  Anyone want to take a
bet that they couldn't find a crew of astronauts willing to do the
mission?
Abrigon Gusiq - 05 Mar 2004 13:44 GMT
One way to bring it back, would be to go up, and wrap it in asbestos or
like material in a cacoon like structure, and bring it back, with
maneuver rockets attached for control,a and then a few parachutes once
you get it thru the upper atmosphere?

Mike

> > On Thu, 29 Jan 2004 17:05:58 -0600, in a place far, far away, Brian
> > Thorn <bthorn64@cox.net> made the phosphor on my monitor glow in such
[quoted text clipped - 24 lines]
> 'Invid Fan'         Not a help, you'll admit, to agreement between us."
>                                      -'Deal/No Deal', CHESS
Jorge R. Frank - 06 Mar 2004 01:28 GMT
>> > On Thu, 29 Jan 2004 17:05:58 -0600, in a place far, far away, Brian
>> > Thorn <bthorn64@cox.net> made the phosphor on my monitor glow in
[quoted text clipped - 19 lines]
>> I have an image of it not tied down enough in the cargo bay and
>> shifting at the wrong time...

> One way to bring it back, would be to go up, and wrap it in asbestos
> or like material in a cacoon like structure, and bring it back, with
> maneuver rockets attached for control,a and then a few parachutes once
> you get it thru the upper atmosphere?

*Who* goes up?  There isn't going to be a shuttle mission there. Soyuz
can't get there from Baikonur. Soyuz could get there from Kourou, *if* the
Soyuz pad gets built there, and *if* Kourou is equipped to handle the
manned Soyuz spacecraft (both of which are *far* from done deals). But even
then, Soyuz doesn't have the lift capacity to carry EVA suits, much less
the "coccoon-like structure with maneuver rockets" you propose to attach to
HST, nor the ability to stage a standalone EVA.

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Explorer8939 - 06 Mar 2004 17:15 GMT
This is generally correct, but Soyuz has supported a standalone EVA in
the past, and its only largely economics and the small hatch that
prevent future such EVAs.

>> *Who* goes up?  There isn't going to be a shuttle mission there.
Soyuz
> can't get there from Baikonur. Soyuz could get there from Kourou, *if* the
> Soyuz pad gets built there, and *if* Kourou is equipped to handle the
> manned Soyuz spacecraft (both of which are *far* from done deals). But even
> then, Soyuz doesn't have the lift capacity to carry EVA suits, much less
> the "coccoon-like structure with maneuver rockets" you propose to attach to
> HST, nor the ability to stage a standalone EVA.
Jorge R. Frank - 07 Mar 2004 00:30 GMT
>>> *Who* goes up?  There isn't going to be a shuttle mission there.
> Soyuz
[quoted text clipped - 9 lines]
> the past, and its only largely economics and the small hatch that
> prevent future such EVAs.

"Only?" In the context of a standalone EVA to service HST, those economics
will be quite formidable. Especially the type of mission Abrigon Gusiq
proposes.
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John Doe - 07 Mar 2004 08:31 GMT
> > This is generally correct, but Soyuz has supported a standalone EVA in
> > the past, and its only largely economics and the small hatch that
> > prevent future such EVAs.

Not sure where the myth of the small hatch came from. From this past EVA, one
of the exercises done prior to the EVA was Soyuz ingress wearing the EVA suits.

And during the EVA, the orbital module was supposedly set to vacuum so that it
could be ingressed should the crew need to ingress the soyuz should DC1 fail
to repressurize.
Jorge R. Frank - 07 Mar 2004 16:05 GMT
>> > This is generally correct, but Soyuz has supported a standalone EVA
>> > in the past, and its only largely economics and the small hatch
[quoted text clipped - 3 lines]
> EVA, one of the exercises done prior to the EVA was Soyuz ingress
> wearing the EVA suits.

That's the forward hatch - the same one that would be attached to HST, in
this scenario, so there's nothing to egress out of.

I agree that a *true* standalone Soyuz EVA could use the forward hatch, but
a hypothetical HST servicing EVA would need rather more elaborate mods,
either to size up the smaller side hatch or allow egress out the forward
hatch.

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Chris Bennetts - 07 Mar 2004 02:48 GMT
> This is generally correct, but Soyuz has supported a standalone EVA in
> the past,

The very distant past. AFAICT, the only time that Soyuz has ever supported
an EVA was in the January 1969 Soyuz 4/5 double mission. The Soyuz
spacecraft and Russian spacesuit technology has come a long way since then,
and I doubt the ability to conduct EVAs from Soyuz remains.

--Chris
Jason Rhodes - 30 Jan 2004 18:23 GMT
> >I agree with another post...I astronauts would jump at the opportuity to not only fly a
> >mission to service the HST, but to also bring it home.
[quoted text clipped - 11 lines]
>
> Brian

What makes Hubble different is that it is the most successful scientific
instrument in the history of the world.

Jason
Brian Thorn - 30 Jan 2004 23:04 GMT
>What makes Hubble different is that it is the most successful scientific
>instrument in the history of the world.

That is very much debatable. In astronomy alone, Hale and Mt. Wilson
give it a run for its money.

Brian
Cardman - 30 Jan 2004 23:21 GMT
>>What makes Hubble different is that it is the most successful scientific
>>instrument in the history of the world.
>
>That is very much debatable. In astronomy alone, Hale and Mt. Wilson
>give it a run for its money.

I doubt that the Hubble can even compare to the simple Telescope,
which has for a very long time offered scientific insight into this
part of the Universe that we can see.

The Hubble is just the latest brief item of wonderment in the much
larger history of the Telescope, where you can rest assured the much
better telescopes are to follow.

Cardman
http://www.cardman.com
http://www.cardman.co.uk
Ool - 30 Jan 2004 23:28 GMT
> >What makes Hubble different is that it is the most successful scientific
> >instrument in the history of the world.

> That is very much debatable. In astronomy alone, Hale and Mt. Wilson
> give it a run for its money.

There's this German astronomer on TV over here who makes the point
that the biggest influence the really large and expensive telescopes
have is their taking the economic pressure off the smaller, cheaper
ones.  That should give astronomers more time to concentrate on their
research rather than on fighting for time slots and funding.

So in his opinion the greatest contribution of telescopes like Hubble
is a trickle-down effect that smaller projects eventually profit from
that aren't even directly connected with Hubble...

(He's also very much for setting up telescopes on the Lunar far side.)

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John Doe - 04 Feb 2004 09:23 GMT
> > Retrieval Mission. I'm sure they'd agree to fly SM-4, but they clearly
> > are against risking their lives just to bring home a trophy for the
> > Smithsonian.

Thing is that NASA has a responsability to bring Hubble down.  The shuttle is
capable of doing so. And I think that it would be a fitting last flight for
the shuttle.

The idea of a space tug that would somehow attach itself to Hubble and
de-orbit it is fine, but just how realistic is it ? What happens if it fails
to grapple itself ?

Didn't NASA have to improvise with one satellite where the arm couldn't
grapple it because it was spinning and it took humans to get the job done ?
Imagine if Hubble isn't stable anymore, can you really expect some automated
robot to be able to find the one grapple point and then bring itself in tight
enough contact that it can use its thrusters to get the right attitude and
then fire its de-orbit engine ?

Until there is a real space tug readyto be launched at KSC with whatever
launcher, the shuttle mission to take Hubble out of orbit should remain in the
books and planning.
Dale - 04 Feb 2004 09:41 GMT
>Thing is that NASA has a responsability to bring Hubble down.  The shuttle is
>capable of doing so. And I think that it would be a fitting last flight for
[quoted text clipped - 6 lines]
>Didn't NASA have to improvise with one satellite where the arm couldn't
>grapple it because it was spinning and it took humans to get the job done ?

You're referring to the Spartan satellite on STS-87, I think. To nitpick, it
wasn't spinning until a failed grappling attempt imparted the motion to it.
Kalpana Chawla was the arm operator, FWIW. But it was a very small
satellite, making grappling difficult but the manual retreival possible.

>Imagine if Hubble isn't stable anymore, can you really expect some automated
>robot to be able to find the one grapple point and then bring itself in tight
>enough contact that it can use its thrusters to get the right attitude and
>then fire its de-orbit engine ?

Hubble is alot bigger than Spartan. I think they'd need to match its spin,
if that's possible, and use the arm. I can't imagine they'd maneuver the
shuttle so close to a spinning Hubble as to bring it within reach of EVA
astronauts, even at the end of the arm.

>Until there is a real space tug readyto be launched at KSC with whatever
>launcher, the shuttle mission to take Hubble out of orbit should remain in the
>books and planning.

I'd be satisfied if they can just do the servicing mission, and install a
propulsion module on it at the same time.

Dale
Dale - 04 Feb 2004 10:38 GMT
On Wed, 04 Feb 2004 01:41:22 -0800, I wrote:

>Hubble is alot bigger than Spartan. I think they'd need to match its spin,
>if that's possible, and use the arm. I can't imagine they'd maneuver the
>shuttle so close to a spinning Hubble as to bring it within reach of EVA
>astronauts, even at the end of the arm.

That wasn't very well written- sorry. The scenario I can't imagine is more
one of a tumbling HST being approached by a shuttle that wasn't in a
"matching tumble". And is it possible for a shuttle to match the motion of
a tumbling object in order to make it relatively stable and retrieve it? They
could film a great IMAX movie while doing it, I suppose- assuming IMAX
theaters have motion sickness bags available for the viewers :)

Dale
Hallerb - 04 Feb 2004 11:57 GMT
> And is it possible for a shuttle to match the motion of
>a tumbling object in order to make it relatively stable and retrieve it? They
>could film a great IMAX movie while doing it, I suppose- assuming IMAX
>theaters have motion sickness bags

Ahh if both were matching tumbling hw much would the movie watcher see? It sure
wopuld be a interesting movie
Dale - 04 Feb 2004 12:16 GMT
>> And is it possible for a shuttle to match the motion of
>>a tumbling object in order to make it relatively stable and retrieve it? They
[quoted text clipped - 3 lines]
>Ahh if both were matching tumbling hw much would the movie watcher see? It sure
>wopuld be a interesting movie

Well, I was thinking the Earth would be whizzing by, and a half-topless
Janet Jackson would be positioned 180 degrees away. But even if they
have the bags already, maybe they'd need to get bigger ones :)

Dale
Roger Balettie - 04 Feb 2004 13:13 GMT
> >Didn't NASA have to improvise with one satellite where the arm couldn't
> >grapple it because it was spinning and it took humans to get the job done ?
>
> You're referring to the Spartan satellite on STS-87, I think.

No... he's thinking of the IntelSat retrieval on STS-49, where three crewmen
stood in the payload bay and captured it by hand.

> Hubble is alot bigger than Spartan. I think they'd need to match its spin,
> if that's possible, and use the arm. I can't imagine they'd maneuver the
> shuttle so close to a spinning Hubble as to bring it within reach of EVA
> astronauts, even at the end of the arm.

HST is not spin-stabilized (i.e., it doesn't spin), so this doesn't matter.

Roger
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rk - 04 Feb 2004 14:49 GMT

>> Hubble is alot bigger than Spartan. I think they'd need to match its
>> spin, if that's possible, and use the arm. I can't imagine they'd
[quoted text clipped - 3 lines]
> HST is not spin-stabilized (i.e., it doesn't spin), so this doesn't
> matter.

NASA Hubble Space Telescope End of Mission (EOM) Options

HST End of Mission (EOM) Options
HST Program Office
NASA/Goddard Space Flight Center
July 21, 2003

http://www.spaceref.com/news/viewsr.html?pid=9909

Because the HST must be stable and safe for shuttle retrieval, this option
must be executed while the HST is functional and possesses sufficient
redundancy in key systems to ensure it remains so during mission execution –
e.g. thermal control, pointing stability sufficient for grappling,
communications, commanding and telemetry. With complete loss of pointing
control, HST would be semi-stable in a "gravity gradient" mode and still could
be grappled with the Shuttle's remote arm. However, extended periods of
gravity gradient operation could lead to HST structures becoming too cold, and
possibly unsound, so that they would no longer be safe for landing within the
Shuttle payload bay. Thus, the loss of redundancy in key systems, or the
threat of irrecoverable entry into gravity gradient mode, would require an
early "call-up" mission to assure that HST can be safely retrieved and
returned to earth by the astronauts. There is a small but non-negligible
chance (of order 10%) that a retrieval mission would be unsuccessful, and that
the HST would subsequently undergo an uncontrolled re-entry.

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John Doe - 05 Feb 2004 08:20 GMT
> be grappled with the Shuttle's remote arm. However, extended periods of
> gravity gradient operation could lead to HST structures becoming too cold, and
> possibly unsound, so that they would no longer be safe for landing within the
> Shuttle payload bay.

Can someone explain this to me ? Hubble was designed to be returned by Shuttle
after a couple of decades in space, correct ?

Hubble was designed to widthstand the rigours of space, correct ?

If Shuttle goes back to pickup Hubble on schedule, wouldn't hubble still be in
fair condition ? We're not talking about going to pickup Hubble after 200
years hidden from the sun behind the moon, right ?

Even if Hubble is no longer controllable , why wouldn't he be heated by the
sun as it rotates around the earth ? Even if the "Bottom" portion doesn't get
direct sunlight, wouldn't the portions that do get direct sunlight provide
radiative heating of the other side ? (the insides are mostly empty, right ?
Besides, wouldn't there be radiative heating from the earth as well as brief
period of sunlights during sunrise and sunset where there would be sun
illumination from below ?

Also, even if Hubble, left by itself were to gradually cool to near 0 Kelvin,
wouldn't placing it back in the cargo bay then result in it gradually heating
up again to be within tolerance for re-entry ?

I can understand an extremely cold metal shattering during an impact. But if
you take an extremely cold metal and gradually warm it up again, won't it
again be able to widthstand an impact ?

And just how big an impact does the Shuttle impart to a piece of cargo when it
lands ?

Seems to me that NASA used some extreme excuse to justify cancelling a Shuttle
mission that would have occured well before extreme conditions would have
occured anyways.
starman - 05 Feb 2004 09:22 GMT
> With complete loss of pointing control, HST would be semi-stable in a > "gravity gradient" mode and still could be grappled with the Shuttle's > remote arm.

What attitude would Hubble assume in a gravity gradient mode? Where is
the CG?
Jorge R. Frank - 05 Feb 2004 13:20 GMT
>> With complete loss of pointing control, HST would be semi-stable in a
>> > "gravity gradient" mode and still could be grappled with the
>> Shuttle's > remote arm.
>
> What attitude would Hubble assume in a gravity gradient mode?

Long axis toward the Earth, solar arrays edge-on to the velocity vector.
Mind you, it will still oscillate substantially about that attitude.

> Where is
> the CG?

Near the upper end of the fat part of the cylinder.

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starman - 09 Feb 2004 07:21 GMT
> >> With complete loss of pointing control, HST would be semi-stable in a
> >> > "gravity gradient" mode and still could be grappled with the
[quoted text clipped - 9 lines]
>
> Near the upper end of the fat part of the cylinder.

Could you recommend a website that has detailed info' on Hubble's design
and construction? Thanks.
rk - 09 Feb 2004 12:35 GMT
> Could you recommend a website that has detailed info' on Hubble's design
> and construction? Thanks.

Try this for starters:

  http://hubble.gsfc.nasa.gov/technology/schematics.html

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Dale - 04 Feb 2004 23:26 GMT
>> You're referring to the Spartan satellite on STS-87, I think.
>
>No... he's thinking of the IntelSat retrieval on STS-49, where three crewmen
>stood in the payload bay and captured it by hand.

Thanks.

>> Hubble is alot bigger than Spartan. I think they'd need to match its spin,
>> if that's possible, and use the arm. I can't imagine they'd maneuver the
>> shuttle so close to a spinning Hubble as to bring it within reach of EVA
>> astronauts, even at the end of the arm.
>
>HST is not spin-stabilized (i.e., it doesn't spin), so this doesn't matter.

I know it isn't spin-stabilized. John was talking about capturing Hubble if it
had become unstable (I later re-posted and replaced "spinning" with
"tumbling").. He seemed to be suggesting, with his "it took humans to get the
job done" comment, that it might be better under such circumstances to
do use the shuttle.

Dale
Rand Simberg - 04 Feb 2004 14:33 GMT
On Wed, 04 Feb 2004 04:23:00 -0500, in a place far, far away, John Doe
<jdoe@jdoe.info> made the phosphor on my monitor glow in such a way as
to indicate that:

>> > Retrieval Mission. I'm sure they'd agree to fly SM-4, but they clearly
>> > are against risking their lives just to bring home a trophy for the
>> > Smithsonian.
>
>Thing is that NASA has a responsability to bring Hubble down.

No, it has a responsibility to ensure that it doesn't come down in an
uncontrolled manner.  There's no requirement to bring it down, per se.
jeff findley - 04 Feb 2004 14:49 GMT
> > > Retrieval Mission. I'm sure they'd agree to fly SM-4, but they clearly
> > > are against risking their lives just to bring home a trophy for the
[quoted text clipped - 3 lines]
> capable of doing so. And I think that it would be a fitting last flight for
> the shuttle.

Even if the shuttle and Hubble end up in pieces strewn over half a
dozen US states due to a repeat of Columbia?  It's a safety decision.
It's a bit silly to risk the lives of the astronauts (even the many
EVA's required will be tedious and there is always a risk with EVA's)
and a shuttle just to bring back a piece of hardware that's outlived
its usefulness.

> The idea of a space tug that would somehow attach itself to Hubble and
> de-orbit it is fine, but just how realistic is it ? What happens if it fails
> to grapple itself ?

You figure out what went wrong, fix the problem, then send up another
tug and try again.

Jeff
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Brian Thorn - 04 Feb 2004 23:32 GMT
>> Thing is that NASA has a responsability to bring Hubble down.  The shuttle is
>> capable of doing so. And I think that it would be a fitting last flight for
>> the shuttle.
>
>Even if the shuttle and Hubble end up in pieces strewn over half a
>dozen US states due to a repeat of Columbia?  

Nit: Hubble only overflies Texas and Florida.

Brian
Brian Thorn - 05 Feb 2004 03:21 GMT
>>Even if the shuttle and Hubble end up in pieces strewn over half a
>>dozen US states due to a repeat of Columbia?  
>
>Nit: Hubble only overflies Texas and Florida.

Oops, forgot Hawaii. Not that Hawaii would have a debris issue.

Brian
John Doe - 05 Feb 2004 06:57 GMT
> Even if the shuttle and Hubble end up in pieces strewn over half a
> dozen US states due to a repeat of Columbia?  It's a safety decision.

If europeans stopped sending ships to explore the americas because so many
were dying of disease during the trips, you wouldn't have NASA and KSC in
Florida today.

But they persevered and eventually found that providing iron in nutrition
prevented the diseases that killed so many seaman. And eventually, by doing
more and more trips, they improved the ships and with each gradual
improvement, they were able to cut travel time.

Did they stop after Apollo 1 ? No. They persevered.

Yes, the Shuttle has issues. But with smart decision making, they must be able
to overcome these weaknesses. And the more you learn about the shuttle, the
better you can design its successor.

When a military fighter jet crashes, do they make a huge fuss about it and
decide to no longer fly military fighter jets ? Have F18s permanently been
retited because some people named them "lawn darts" ?

Airbus aircraft had a lot of issues in the the early days of their FBW family.
But they overcame those and now those planes are very reliable and in fact
Airbus has surpassed Boeing as the number 1 commercial aircraft provider.

Why is it that NASA requires billions to replace the hydraulic system with
electric pumps ? If NASa identified those as costing a lot to maintain and
identified electric system as the solution, how come it hasn't been
implemented ?

Is it because NASA is micro managed by the government and isn't given the
latitude to make smart decisions, leaving it only with silly choices ?

When Kennedy set out to send a man to the moon, did NASA abandon at the first
explosion of a rocket ? did NASA abandon at the first problem which caused the
requirement of more money ?

Why is it that when NASA set out to replace the shuttle with the X-33 which
could have lead to the Venture Star, they stopped because they encountered
technical problems which would have required more money to fix ?

The CEV will fail the same way "Venture Star" failed. There just isn't a
commitment to give NASa such large sums of money. That leaves minor but
progressive shuttle upgrades.

And eventually, once they've tested many new technologies on the shuttle, they
will be much closer to being able to develop a new vehicle based on those
tested technoogies.

I think that they should give NASA money to proceed with shuttle upgrade
program, including electric APUs. This will not only make shuttle safer,
cheaper to operate, but it will also bring the replacement to the shuttle
closer to reality.

NASA needs to move forwards with spaceship technology. The failure of X33
proves that NASA doesn't yet have all the proven technologies to build a new spaceship.

So, is NASA capable only of using 1960s technolgies to rebuild Saturn-5
launcher to give it heavy launch capability ? What would it be used for in the
short term, until assembly of a new space station or mars expedition ship
begins ?
Paul F. Dietz - 05 Feb 2004 12:51 GMT
> But they persevered and eventually found that providing iron in nutrition
> prevented the diseases that killed so many seaman.

Um, no.

    Paul
Paul Blay - 05 Feb 2004 13:19 GMT
> > But they persevered and eventually found that providing iron in nutrition
> > prevented the diseases that killed so many seaman.
>
> Um, no.

Sure it was, that's why the English seamen were known as Nailies from all the
rusty nails added to their food.  Everybody laughed at us - but we had the
last laugh when we didn't end up pale and interesting with frequent fainting fits.
Chosp - 06 Feb 2004 18:04 GMT
> If europeans stopped sending ships to explore the americas because so many
> were dying of disease during the trips, you wouldn't have NASA and KSC in
> Florida today.
>
> But they persevered and eventually found that providing iron in nutrition
> prevented the diseases that killed so many seaman.

Close, but no cigar.
Think limes.
The British were called limeys for
a reason.
John Savard - 30 Jan 2004 03:41 GMT
>If I wold hate to see it just die and
>burn up, I can't image how folks in the organization feel.

I would *much* rather see a final upgrading mission that allowed the
Hubble to operate indefinitely unattended - but with reduced
capabilities in some areas to make that possible - and boosted it into
a higher orbit.

John Savard
http://home.ecn.ab.ca/~jsavard/index.html
Hallerb - 30 Jan 2004 13:41 GMT
>I would *much* rather see a final upgrading mission that allowed the
>Hubble to operate indefinitely unattended - but with reduced
>capabilities in some areas to make that possible - and boosted it into
>a higher orbit.

Ahh they should service it once more while keeping a backup shuttle on the pad
prepped for launch. Then send the backup to ISS after the hubble service
mission is back safe and sound.

attach a dock point to hubble for later operations too. Boost its orbit to the
max our shuttle can.

That should keep iit operational till the new launch system is working and the
decision can be made then wether to destroy it.

heck a final shuttle flight might be retrieving hubble. it could take something
else up, send it on its way then go pick up hubble and bring it home.

A mission like this would be a BIG PR splash. Better than destroying hubble.
Chris Bennetts - 30 Jan 2004 22:28 GMT
> Ahh they should service it once more while keeping a backup shuttle on the
> pad prepped for launch. Then send the backup to ISS after the hubble
> service mission is back safe and sound.

Well, that would eliminate the perceived "schedule pressure" on NASA to
finish the station that seems to be felt around these parts.

Heck, why bother finishing the station if it's going to be ditched in the
Pacific a few years after completion? What's the point?

> attach a dock point to hubble for later operations too. Boost its orbit to
> the max our shuttle can.

Very good idea. HST has attachment hardware for shuttle repair missions, but
it would appear to be sorely inadequate for an unmanned deorbit mission.
Why not attach some guidance/capture hardware - suitable for use by an
unmanned tug - during SM4? It would make things much easier.

> That should keep iit operational till the new launch system is working and
> the decision can be made then wether to destroy it.

HST should continue flying until a suitable UV astronomy replacement is
planned and funded.

> heck a final shuttle flight might be retrieving hubble. it could take
> something else up, send it on its way then go pick up hubble and bring it
> home.

They did that for the LDEF retrieval. The only issue is that there's nothing
suitable to be launched. A couple of Starshines in gascans?

> A mission like this would be a BIG PR splash. Better than destroying
> hubble.

Definitely. It would be great publicity, and would make a fitting final
shuttle mission.

--Chris
Jorge R. Frank - 31 Jan 2004 04:14 GMT
>> Ahh they should service it once more while keeping a backup shuttle
>> on the pad prepped for launch. Then send the backup to ISS after the
>> hubble service mission is back safe and sound.
>
> Well, that would eliminate the perceived "schedule pressure" on NASA
> to finish the station that seems to be felt around these parts.

No, it wouldn't have. It would have been a processing nightmare, unless it
were performed during the (rare) periods with all three orbiters  
available. The schedule pressure to get the mission off in the window
before the next orbiter goes into OMM would have been immense.

> Heck, why bother finishing the station if it's going to be ditched in
> the Pacific a few years after completion? What's the point?

Why do you think that? The proposal is that the US would withdraw from ISS
around 2016. There is *no* requirement to ditch it in the Pacific at that
point - that would be up to the remaining international partners. They
could continue to operate it as long as they could afford to. Besides, the
US doesn't even have the *capability* to deorbit ISS - *only* the Russians
(and once ATV is available, ESA) can do that. The US does not have the
technical capability to deorbit ISS.

>> heck a final shuttle flight might be retrieving hubble. it could take
>> something else up, send it on its way then go pick up hubble and
>> bring it home.
>
> They did that for the LDEF retrieval. The only issue is that there's
> nothing suitable to be launched. A couple of Starshines in gascans?

I don't think HST leaves enough clearance in the payload bay for that,
unless the gascans themselves are also jettisoned.

>> A mission like this would be a BIG PR splash. Better than destroying
>> hubble.

Hallerb once again reveals his true colors: PR over safety. He is both an
imbecile *and* a hypocrite.

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Chris Bennetts - 31 Jan 2004 10:53 GMT
> >> Ahh they should service it once more while keeping a backup shuttle
> >> on the pad prepped for launch. Then send the backup to ISS after the
[quoted text clipped - 7 lines]
> available. The schedule pressure to get the mission off in the window
> before the next orbiter goes into OMM would have been immense.

I don't see why three would be required. Slow down the HST processing flow
so that the two orbiters involved were around two weeks apart in processing
flows - this could be achieved easily if one orbiter was coming out of OMM.
The third could be in OMM or a processing flow.

> > Heck, why bother finishing the station if it's going to be ditched in
> > the Pacific a few years after completion? What's the point?
[quoted text clipped - 6 lines]
> (and once ATV is available, ESA) can do that. The US does not have the
> technical capability to deorbit ISS.

I know that. I don't think the Russians have the means to keep the ISS going
without shuttle support, and I don't think the ESA would be prepared to foot
the whole bill either. The way I see it, once the US pulls out of the ISS,
it's abandonment and deorbiting will follow quickly.

Note that I didn't say that the US would deorbit the ISS.

> >> heck a final shuttle flight might be retrieving hubble. it could take
> >> something else up, send it on its way then go pick up hubble and
[quoted text clipped - 5 lines]
> I don't think HST leaves enough clearance in the payload bay for that,
> unless the gascans themselves are also jettisoned.

I think you're right. STS-31R went up with a very-nearly empty payload bay.
Still, the STS-31R press kit lists Hubble's length as 43.5 ft, so even
considering the external airlock and the required clearance aft of it, there
may still be some space left.

> Hallerb once again reveals his true colors: PR over safety. He is both an
> imbecile *and* a hypocrite.

It's been interesting the transformation - pre-STS-107 he was paranoid over
safety, now he seems to care little about it. I like to think I've
maintained a nice medium throughout :-).
Brian Thorn - 30 Jan 2004 23:05 GMT
>Ahh they should service it once more while keeping a backup shuttle on the pad
>prepped for launch. Then send the backup to ISS after the hubble service
>mission is back safe and sound.

This would be in violation of CAIB recommendations, which say they
must have stand-alone repair capability.

Are you now urging NASA to ignore outside safety advice. Quite a
departure for you, Bob.

Brian
Hallerb - 31 Jan 2004 05:18 GMT
>This would be in violation of CAIB recommendations, which say they
>must have stand-alone repair capability.
[quoted text clipped - 3 lines]
>
>Brian

Juast what will happen to a shuttle going to ISS that cant for whatever reason
get to station?

A extra shuttle should be ready to go for EVERY future shuttle flight.

So stand alon repair capability is still needed.

Frankly I dont beliecve we should return to flight till a fast supplies parts
ship to orbit is ready.

Not only would it be useful for a stranded shuttle but ISS as well.

Imagine loosing ISS because of the lack of a $100 part. Crew evacuated and
another problem comes up station tumbles and is lost.

Boy will nasa look stupid.
Herb Schaltegger - 31 Jan 2004 13:17 GMT
> Juast what will happen to a shuttle going to ISS that cant for whatever
> reason get to station?
>
> A extra shuttle should be ready to go for EVERY future shuttle flight.

How would you suggest doing that?  Do you unerstand the implications for
flight rates?  Do you understand the implications to orbiter maintenance
schedules?   Do you understand the implications for the ISS assembly
sequence?

> So stand alon repair capability is still needed.

Do you have a "stand alon" repair cabability for your minivan when you take
it out on a lonely stretch of interstate?  Come on, Bob - people have been
trying to get you to understand the concepts of "risk management" for a
year now.  Sometimes the risks *don't* justify the means.

> Frankly I dont beliecve we should return to flight till a fast supplies
> parts ship to orbit is ready.

Do you understand orbital mechanics enough to recognize the difficulties
with this concept?  What ELV do you propose to use?  What launch
facility(ies) do you propose to use?  If you propose something new, do you
use solid or storable-liquid propellants?  How do you propose to fund you
new "Space Guard"?

> Not only would it be useful for a stranded shuttle but ISS as well.

No doubt it would be useful to hire someone to follow you in a rescue car
wherever you drive, too.

> Imagine loosing ISS because of the lack of a $100 part. Crew evacuated and
> another problem comes up station tumbles and is lost.

What "$100 part" do you think could "tumble" the station?  Do you have any
concept of the true ISS maintenance and spares requirements or are you just
talking out of you rear end again?  On second thought, don't bother
answering that.  I think most of us already know the answer.

> Boy will nasa look stupid.

*sigh*  You really need to look up the word "irony" in a dictionary before
you make another post like this.

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Chris J...... - 31 Jan 2004 09:04 GMT
>>I would *much* rather see a final upgrading mission that allowed the
>>Hubble to operate indefinitely unattended - but with reduced
[quoted text clipped - 4 lines]
>prepped for launch. Then send the backup to ISS after the hubble service
>mission is back safe and sound.

If there is a serious enough risk to warrant having a second shuttle
ready to fly, is it really a good idea to attempt the mission?

A second shuttle might be able to save the crew, but not the damaged
shuttle. It would be lost, leaving us with only two.

Which brings up the question; how difficult would it be to complete
ISS if another Shuttle is lost? Or two?

Also, regarding ISS, I've seen it mentioned on this group that the US
plans to withdraw from it in 2016? Why would that even be considered
after spending so much to build it? (Unless a new station is planned
to be operational by then?)    

For some ideas on how to help our troops, check out
http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,82385,00.html

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Jorge R. Frank - 31 Jan 2004 17:05 GMT
> Which brings up the question; how difficult would it be to complete
> ISS if another Shuttle is lost? Or two?

The schedule for completion would stretch significantly if another shuttle
were lost. You'd have two remaining, with one down for OMM a significant
percentage of the time.

> Also, regarding ISS, I've seen it mentioned on this group that the US
> plans to withdraw from it in 2016? Why would that even be considered
> after spending so much to build it? (Unless a new station is planned
> to be operational by then?)    

The idea is to focus remaining ISS research on areas that will support the
new moon/Mars initiative. This should be complete around the time of the
first lunar landing (2015). This nicely coincides with ISS reaching the end
of its 15 year design lifetime (first element launch was in 1998). That's
not to say that ISS will suddenly start falling apart in 2013 - it will
probably greatly exceed its design lifetime, as Mir did - just that the
costs of maintaining it will start to escalate after that.

I own a 2001 model car. I don't *plan* on junking it in the summer of 2008
- but I know that it will be pushing 100k miles by then, its trade-in value
will drop to nearly nil, and the costs to maintain it will go up after
that.

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Jason Rhodes - 30 Jan 2004 18:07 GMT
> Plus, it would be a real shame not to get this into the Smithsonian. I think everyone just
> assumed this would happen. But would that have to be an entire mission itself...just to bring
[quoted text clipped - 5 lines]
>
> Mark

The astronauts (via Grunsfeld) I believe said they would service the HST but
did not want to bring it back.  They told this to the Bahcall committee last
year that was exploring the future of HST.

Jason
Jorge R. Frank - 31 Jan 2004 02:20 GMT
>> Plus, it would be a real shame not to get this into the Smithsonian.
>> I
[quoted text clipped - 17 lines]
> HST but did not want to bring it back.  They told this to the Bahcall
> committee last year that was exploring the future of HST.

More or less correct. The exact quotes are here:

http://hst-jwst-transition.hq.nasa.gov/hst-jwst/Grunsfeld_HST-JWST1.pdf

If astronauts are going to risk their lives to service the Hubble Space
Telescope, we should do it in order to enable great science. For the
upcoming SM4 mission the Astronaut Office has signed up for and is excited
about the prospects of sending a team up to Hubble to install the Cosmic
Origins Spectrograph, the Wide Field-3 Camera, and replace the gyros,
batteries, and install the Aft-shroud Cooling System. The Space Shuttle
Program is aggressively working towards improving the safety of the Shuttle
system and to provide solutions to the tile issues, brought to light by the
Columbia accident, which will enable an SM4 mission to the Hubble.

If there were to be a mission after the SM4 for the purpose of returning
Hubble to earth in the Shuttle Payload bay, the Astronaut Office would have
reservations supporting the mission. Initial analysis shows that perhaps
four spacewalks are required, significant hardware would have to be
jettisoned, and a heavyweight return through the atmosphere would have to
be performed. In a sense this mission would be risking human lives, and a
unique national resource (the Space Shuttle), for the purpose of disabling
great science, albeit due to necessity at end-of-life. For this reason the
Astronaut Office favors the alternate approaches being investigated by the
Office of Space Science, including an autonomously installed propulsion
module mission, or a Shuttle based combined servicing/propulsion module
installation mission.

As astronauts we place our trust in the astronomical community, the NASA
Office of Space Science, and the Office of Space Flight to examine the end-
of-life options for the Hubble Space Telescope. And if it is determined
that the science case drives an additional Hubble servicing mission, the
astronauts will be there to help enable the scientific exploration of the
Cosmos.

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Greg D. Moore (Strider) - 31 Jan 2004 15:58 GMT
> http://hst-jwst-transition.hq.nasa.gov/hst-jwst/Grunsfeld_HST-JWST1.pdf

I think the balance here is a good one.

Yes, I'd love to see Hubble in the Smithsonian someday.  But the risks
probably aren't worth it.

On the other hand, gaining more years of better science out of it seems to
be worth the risk, both of lives and of an orbiter.

Probably the best idea is to attach an active docking mechanism to allow a
Progress to dock.

Then you can later use the Progress to reboost it or to re-enter it.
Hallerb - 31 Jan 2004 17:23 GMT
>Probably the best idea is to attach an active docking mechanism to allow a
>Progress to dock.

I agree completely. Do the service mission as scheduled. Attach progress
adapter.

Then use hubble till its end of life....

Lots of time to re evaluate safety, new options as the new manned launcher
shiould be operational by then too.

will give hubble some time to work with the webb observatory too.

besides the equiptement is mostly all built for the service mission, so not
much saved on that