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Experts: Reliance on Russia makes NASA weak

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johnny@. - 15 Aug 2008 02:12 GMT
Thu August 14, 2008

LONDON, England (CNN) -- Experts are growing increasingly concerned that
the United States will have to rely entirely upon Russia to take
astronauts to and from the international space station for at least five
years.

Observers say the situation is all the more worrying as after NASA
announced a delay in the launch of its next-generation Orion spacecraft.

NASA's dependency upon the Russian Soyuz space capsules and rockets to
carry astronauts to the station is the result of a five-year gap between
the scheduled retirement of the shuttle in 2010 and the debut of its
replacement in 2015.

http://www.cnn.com/2008/TECH/space/08/14/nasa.russia.soyuz/index.html

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John Doe - 15 Aug 2008 04:51 GMT
> LONDON, England (CNN) -- Experts are growing increasingly concerned that
> the United States will have to rely entirely upon Russia to take
> astronauts to and from the international space station for at least five
> years.

Which experts is the CNN entertainment network allegedly reporting on ?

From the onset of the CEV program announcement (coinciding with Shuttle
retirement) there was to have been a gap with US manned space program.
The USA government quickly mitigated this by removing restrictions that
prevented the USA from buying russian services.

And isn't Soyuz now a cooperative commercial effort between Russia and
Europe ?

Seems to be that Soyuz is as commercial a manned space service as there
can be. They got tourists up, and sell seats to anyone who is willing to
pay.

The USA has already learned that it can't rattle China's cage because
the USA depends on China for so much (think of all the Wallmart
employees in the USA) and more importantly, China owns much of the USA
government's debts.

Perhaps the USA needs to learn to stop rattling Russia's cage if it
wants to ensure Russia doesn't get mad at USA and stop selling a service
the USA will need. Note that the USA just bribed Poland to install
missiles next door to Russia. Look at how the USA reacted when Sovient
Union signed a deal to install missiles next door to Florida in Cuba
some decades ago.

Once/If the USA again has manned launch capability, then it can start to
rattle Russia's cage. If ESA develops a manned version of ATV and allows
the USA to buy seats, then the USA can rattle Russia's cage. But as long
as the USA has decided to depend on Russia, it should be careful about
not making Russia mad.

Then again, space programme is not important in USA politician's minds,
so they don't think about the impacts their rethoric will have on the
space programme.
Brian Gaff - 15 Aug 2008 08:52 GMT
Sad but true. I was shocked to hear the Shrub apparently taking sides with
the initial aggressors  last week, such knee jerk reactions get them into
trouble a lot.

The fact that a certain small state was attempting to drive ethnic Russians
back into Russia when Russia saw red seems to have been forgotten!

Ethnic cleansing by any other word.

Anyway, getting back on topic. Maybe the US should sell a couple of Shuttles
and the hardware jigs to Japan, who seem to be making a lot of  noises about
getting to the iss recently.

Brian

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______________________________________________________________________________________________________________

>> LONDON, England (CNN) -- Experts are growing increasingly concerned that
>> the United States will have to rely entirely upon Russia to take
[quoted text clipped - 36 lines]
> so they don't think about the impacts their rethoric will have on the
> space programme.
Jeff Findley - 15 Aug 2008 14:36 GMT
> Anyway, getting back on topic. Maybe the US should sell a couple of
> Shuttles and the hardware jigs to Japan, who seem to be making a lot of
> noises about getting to the iss recently.

You're really funny.  It would be cheaper just to keep flying the shuttle
past 2010.  This would also be a great time to cancel Ares I in order to pay
for continued shuttle operations.  It's becoming obvious that Ares I is a
real dog and that a "man rated" EELV would be faster, better, cheaper, and
safer.

Jeff
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Alan Erskine - 15 Aug 2008 18:57 GMT
>It's becoming obvious that Ares I is a real dog and that a "man rated" EELV
>would be faster, better, cheaper, and safer.

I think you'll find that the Delta IV is already effectively 'man rated'
anyway - compared to the shuttle and certainly compared to the Ares1 - it's
a smoother ride, is already proven and, in my opinion, safer as it doesn't
us a solid main stage.

Have a look at the Soyuz - it's size and mass let it fit inside the payload
fairing of the Delta IV Medium - capable of over 8 tonnes into LEO.  Rather
than designing the Orion, maybe they should design an Americanised Soyuz.
If the mass of the orbital module were combined with that of the re-entry
module, you'd easily get six crew spaces.  It would basically be as if the
Soyuz Service Module were combined with a bi-conical CM.
bob haller safety advocate - 16 Aug 2008 00:09 GMT
> >It's becoming obvious that Ares I is a real dog and that a "man rated" EELV
> >would be faster, better, cheaper, and safer.
[quoted text clipped - 10 lines]
> module, you'd easily get six crew spaces. �It would basically be as if the
> Soyuz Service Module were combined with a bi-conical CM.

you really dont need to carry 6 people, aers was upsized to make it
impossible to use a existing expendable of any type.

it may cost a bit more but were better off launching more often, with
fewer people....

as shuttle taught us the cost is mostly infrastructure, the marginal
cost for more flights isnt that great
Jeff Findley - 18 Aug 2008 13:47 GMT
>>It's becoming obvious that Ares I is a real dog and that a "man rated"
>>EELV would be faster, better, cheaper, and safer.
[quoted text clipped - 11 lines]
> basically be as if the Soyuz Service Module were combined with a
> bi-conical CM.

A US clone of Soyuz isn't a great idea.  For starters, I don't like the fact
that the orbital module and descent module are separate modules.  More
complexity, more separation events, more things to go wrong.

The Apollo CM design isn't a bad one for a capsule.  You get a lot more lift
than the Soyuz design, which means it's easier to get lower G's during
reentry, especially when you're coming back from the moon at much higher
velocities than you do with a LEO reentry.

Jeff
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A wise person avoids it. -- Einstein

Jeff Findley - 15 Aug 2008 14:33 GMT
> Thu August 14, 2008
>
[quoted text clipped - 12 lines]
>
> http://www.cnn.com/2008/TECH/space/08/14/nasa.russia.soyuz/index.html

This should come as no surprise to anyone who reads this group.

Jeff
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A clever person solves a problem.
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