Home | Contact Us | FAQ | Search & Site Map | Link to Us
Sign In | Join | Other 45 Sites in Network
Home
Discussion GroupsSpace ScienceAstronomyAmateur AstronomySpace FlightSpace StationShuttleSpace HistorySpace PolicySETI
SpaceKB.com
Contact UsLink To UsSearch & Site Map

Space Forum / Shuttle / August 2007



Tip: Looking for answers? Try searching our database.

Can the damaged tiles tear off?

Thread view: 
Enable EMail Alerts  Start New Thread
Thread rating: 
George Orwell - 14 Aug 2007 23:03 GMT
Normal tiles provide for smooth airflow over the aerodynamic surface.  It
would seem damaged tiles would disrupt the airflow, creating turbulence.
Could this turbulence dislodge completely several tiles, or even strip off
a whole area like peeling an orange?  If this is so, could not a seemingly
small damage lead to catastrophy?

Il mittente di questo messaggio|The sender address of this
non corrisponde ad un utente   |message is not related to a real
reale ma all'indirizzo fittizio|person but to a fake address of an
di un sistema anonimizzatore   |anonymous system
Per maggiori informazioni      |For more info
                 https://www.mixmaster.it
Brian Gaff - 15 Aug 2007 09:32 GMT
Well, judging by what has happened before in such circumstances, this will
only occur if the underlying aluminium gets hot enough to buckle, and this
is no doubt the main worry. The airflow when the heat is worst should cause
a kind of buffer of non moving air in the hole to some extent as I
understand it, but I think if I were in the hot seat, I'd go with stuffing
up the hole with a layer of wash, then goop and maybe another layer of wash,
making sure the level was just below the  level of the surface.

Brian

Signature

Brian Gaff....Note, this account does not accept Bcc: email.
graphics are great, but the blind can't hear them
Email: briang1@blueyonder.co.uk
______________________________________________________________________________________________________________

> Normal tiles provide for smooth airflow over the aerodynamic surface.  It
> would seem damaged tiles would disrupt the airflow, creating turbulence.
[quoted text clipped - 8 lines]
> Per maggiori informazioni      |For more info
>                  https://www.mixmaster.it
MichaelJP - 15 Aug 2007 14:39 GMT
> Well, judging by what has happened before in such circumstances, this will
> only occur if the underlying aluminium gets hot enough to buckle, and this
[quoted text clipped - 5 lines]
>
> Brian

Talk is they are thinking of not repairing it, but I hope they do, if only
to get some good experience if there turns out to be a more serious case in
the future. Experience both at executing the repair and how it fares during
re-entry.
Scott Zabolotzky - 15 Aug 2007 15:37 GMT
>Talk is they are thinking of not repairing it, but I hope they do, if only
>to get some good experience if there turns out to be a more serious case in
>the future. Experience both at executing the repair and how it fares during
>re-entry.

It sure seems like they're afraid to try the repair technique. I agree
that this seems like a good time to try it out so they have better data
for when they REALLY need it. Maybe they're not expecting it to work all
that well so they will only use it in a last-ditch attempt to save the
crew.
Jorge R. Frank - 15 Aug 2007 16:01 GMT
>> Talk is they are thinking of not repairing it, but I hope they do, if only
>> to get some good experience if there turns out to be a more serious case in
[quoted text clipped - 6 lines]
> that well so they will only use it in a last-ditch attempt to save the
> crew.

No, that is not a correct characterization. The repair task itself
carries some risk of making the situation worse. NASA is taking all this
time in order to make sure that the risk reduced by doing the repair
outweighs the risk taken.
Danny Deger - 15 Aug 2007 17:37 GMT
>>> Talk is they are thinking of not repairing it, but I hope they do, if
>>> only to get some good experience if there turns out to be a more serious
[quoted text clipped - 11 lines]
> order to make sure that the risk reduced by doing the repair outweighs the
> risk taken.

And there is some risk to the EVA crew just to go EVA.

Danny Deger
Jim in Houston - 15 Aug 2007 17:49 GMT
>No, that is not a correct characterization. The repair task itself
>carries some risk of making the situation worse. NASA is taking all this
>time in order to make sure that the risk reduced by doing the repair
>outweighs the risk taken.
Jorge, I truly don't mean to be argumentative. But it seems the risk
of doing the repair is minimal. It also seems that the knowledge
gained would be immense.
Could you explain the risk concerns in a bit of further detail? I am
really trying to understand. IIRC They talked quite a bit about risk
with the gap filler issue on the first post Columbia flight, and it
went splendidly. They now understand that we can go under the orbiter
without much worry,  and we now know that the gap fillers aren't a big
concern. So why not do the repair?
Thanks
Jim in Houston.

Contrary to popular opinion RN does not mean Real Nerd!

Teddy Roosevelt's mother said: "Fill what is empty, empty what is full, and scratch where it itches"

Signature

Posted via a free Usenet account from http://www.teranews.com

Derek Lyons - 15 Aug 2007 19:06 GMT
>>No, that is not a correct characterization. The repair task itself
>>carries some risk of making the situation worse. NASA is taking all this
[quoted text clipped - 6 lines]
>
>Could you explain the risk concerns in a bit of further detail?

There are multiple;

There is a risk to damaging other tiles simply gaining acess to the
damaged area.  (The SRMS/OBSS combo is a lot more stable than
orginally thought - but the residual risk is non zero.)

There is a risk that the astronauts, highly trained as they are, can
cause additional damage.

There is the risk that repair itself my cause additional damage.
(I.E. by putting unusual strains on the adjacent tiles, or causing an
early boundary layer trip.)

Etc... Etc...

None of these risks are highly likely, but they are nonzero - and the
odds are, to some extent, cumulative.

D.
Signature

Touch-twice life. Eat. Drink. Laugh.

http://derekl1963.livejournal.com/

-Resolved: To be more temperate in my postings.
Oct 5th, 2004 JDL

Battleax - 15 Aug 2007 20:46 GMT
I have a bad feeling about this. I'm not saying I believe there is a
likelihood of catastrophic failure, but I do believe no one at nasa really
knows. The carefull and awkward wording of public announcements is a sure
sign of confusion. I also believe there is a lot of politics going on behind
the scene. An attitude of "we don't want to hear any bad news here
gentelmen, make it work!" People not admitting just how uncomfortable they
are with the situation.

I believe they are sitting with fingers crossed at every launch wondering
where the foam will hit next.

This is a moderately educated perspective

B
snidely - 15 Aug 2007 20:53 GMT
> I have a bad feeling about this. I'm not saying I believe there is a
> likelihood of catastrophic failure, but I do believe no one at nasa really
[quoted text clipped - 8 lines]
>
> This is a moderately educated perspective

You are ignoring that they are doing a lot more testing (arcjet tests,
for instance) then they've done *during* previous flights.

They are not relying just on 1 computer program this time.

/dps
Danny Deger - 16 Aug 2007 01:01 GMT
>I have a bad feeling about this. I'm not saying I believe there is a
>likelihood of catastrophic failure, but I do believe no one at nasa really
[quoted text clipped - 8 lines]
>
> This is a moderately educated perspective

I have listened to all of the mission briefings.  In addition I know John
Shannon well and he is very, very smart.  If NASA decides to not do the
repair it is because they think this is the overall lowest risk option.
Ames Center has done computer modelling of the hole, Langley Center has done
the same.  In addition to this they are doing arc-jet testing.  Even if they
are wrong in the temp at the bottom of the cavity, it is NOT loss of
orbiter.  It is some melted aluminum and a repair job when they get home.

I also have seen dissenting opinions making the press.  I think NASA is
doing much better at not quashing the dissenting opinion.

Danny Deger

> B
Danny Deger - 16 Aug 2007 00:54 GMT
>>>No, that is not a correct characterization. The repair task itself
>>>carries some risk of making the situation worse. NASA is taking all this
[quoted text clipped - 24 lines]
> None of these risks are highly likely, but they are nonzero - and the
> odds are, to some extent, cumulative.

And don't forget the risk to the EVA crewmen just to go EVA.  I can't
believe it, but I think we agree with each other -- once again :-)

Danny Deger
Brian Thorn - 16 Aug 2007 01:48 GMT
>And don't forget the risk to the EVA crewmen just to go EVA.  I can't
>believe it, but I think we agree with each other -- once again :-)

Yes, but EVA-4 was on the books anyway if SSPTS worked well, which it
has.

Brian
hallerb@aol.com - 16 Aug 2007 02:28 GMT
lets not forget the damage implications on future flights
Greg D. Moore (Strider) - 16 Aug 2007 03:30 GMT
>> None of these risks are highly likely, but they are nonzero - and the
>> odds are, to some extent, cumulative.
>
> And don't forget the risk to the EVA crewmen just to go EVA.  I can't
> believe it, but I think we agree with each other -- once again :-)

And today's shortened EVA due to a torn glove says something on the risk.

> Danny Deger

Signature

Greg Moore
SQL Server DBA Consulting           Remote and Onsite available!
Email: sql  (at)  greenms.com          http://www.greenms.com/sqlserver.html

Derek Lyons - 16 Aug 2007 10:24 GMT
>> Etc... Etc...
>>
>> None of these risks are highly likely, but they are nonzero - and the
>> odds are, to some extent, cumulative.
>
>And don't forget the risk to the EVA crewmen just to go EVA.

That was covered under the "Etc... Etc..." part.  I knew the
knowledgeable would know about it, but hoped to leave the
unknowledgeable with the impression that my list was far from
complete.

>I can't believe it, but I think we agree with each other -- once
>again :-)

It will happen from time to time if we slip up.  I'll be more careful
in the future.

D.
Signature

Touch-twice life. Eat. Drink. Laugh.

http://derekl1963.livejournal.com/

-Resolved: To be more temperate in my postings.
Oct 5th, 2004 JDL

bstevens@rock.com - 17 Aug 2007 05:21 GMT
> >>No, that is not a correct characterization. The repair task itself
> >>carries some risk of making the situation worse. NASA is taking all this
> >>time in order to make sure that the risk reduced by doing the repair
> >>outweighs the risk taken.

What's interesting is that according to a newspaper article,
scientists at Johnson  Space Center think it should be repaired; it
would be "prudent," they said. Better to have and not need...

The opposition is coming from NASA. If they turn out to be wrong,
there will be hell to pay. It'll be a bloodbath.

Ron M.
Jim in Houston - 17 Aug 2007 08:26 GMT
>> >>No, that is not a correct characterization. The repair task itself
>> >>carries some risk of making the situation worse. NASA is taking all this
[quoted text clipped - 9 lines]
>
>Ron M.

No, the article states that out of all the Centers involved in the
discussion, which include Marshall Space Flight Center, Kennedy and
others, it was the group at Johnson that dissented. I would add that
the group at Johnson have the least knowledge of orbiter construction,
and the TPS (as it applies to the vehicle). There were many groups
involved in the discussion. The OPF (Orbiter Processing Facility) is
at Kennedy and could be the most knowledgeable about the construction
of the Orbiter. Remember too that "NASA" is comprised of many
different centers.
Jim in Houston.

Contrary to popular opinion RN does not mean Real Nerd!

Teddy Roosevelt's mother said: "Fill what is empty, empty what is full, and scratch where it itches"

Signature

Posted via a free Usenet account from http://www.teranews.com

Jorge R. Frank - 16 Aug 2007 03:52 GMT
>  
>> No, that is not a correct characterization. The repair task itself
[quoted text clipped - 10 lines]
> without much worry,  and we now know that the gap fillers aren't a big
> concern. So why not do the repair?

1) The gap filler EVA was done by an astronaut on the end of the SSRMS
while the proposed tile repair EVA would be done by an astronaut on the
end of the OBSS attached to the SRMS. The problem is comm, not dynamics.
The SRMS operator is the final line of defense for structural clearance
and she depends totally on comm with the EVA crew in this scenario. The
EMUs use UHF comm and shuttle UHF comm coverage is expected to be spotty
underneath the orbiter. This wasn't an issue with the gap filler EVA
since the SSRMS operator was running the show and the ISS UHF comm
situation is much better.But for this proposed EVA, the ISS crew will
probably need to relay comm between the EVA crewmembers and the SRMS
operator. Comm may well turn out to be better than expected and this
turn out to be a non-issue. But I'd hate to find out the hard way when
the EVA crewmember sees an impending collision and calls "All stop! All
stop! All stop!" but the comm gets ratty, the SRMS operator doesn't hear
it, and the ISS crew doesn't relay the call in time to avoid a
collision. I consider this a small but non-zero risk.

2) Rick has trained STA-54 application exactly once, in a 1-g glove box.
Yes, the odds are the repair will go just fine. But there is a small
chance something could go wrong and the repair site wind up worse than
pre-repair.

3) One of the components of STA-54 is mildly toxic (tox level 1-2, IIRC)
so the post-EVA cleanup in the airlock will need to be handled
*extremely* carefully to avoid an eye/inhalation hazard.

4) Inherent risks of EVA (MMOD, EMU puncture, etc). Driven home
dramatically by Rick having to terminate today's EVA early due to glove
damage. Repair *will* cause total EVA hours to go up (EVA 5 will be
added for the tasks displaced by EVA 4) and so will the cumulative risk.

None of these are big risks but it is rapidly becoming clear that the
benefit of the repair is not big either. I take no position on whether
the repair should happen or not - I am simply annoyed at people who
think this is a no-brainer, slam-dunk decision when they don't know all
the complexities involved. Would we learn something valuable by trying
anyway? Sure. We'd also learn something from an RTLS DTO and John
Young's quote regarding that seems apropos right now. (And yes, I do
consider the two comparable - not because this repair is so dangerous,
but because RTLS is less dangerous than popularly imagined. It's been a
certified intact abort mode since Day 1.)
John - 16 Aug 2007 04:47 GMT
Jorge wrote:

> RTLS is less dangerous than popularly imagined. It's been a
> certified intact abort mode since Day 1.)

Interesting comment Jorge.  This is the first time anywhere that I
have read that RTLS was not as risky as many seem to think, or at
least publish.

While I would agree that I may not be being entirely rational about
this, the "negative return" call during ascent is my 2nd favorite
thing to hear during a launch (right after the SRB jettison call).
*S*

I seem to recall within the last year, AWS&T publishing an article
that left the impression that things would get a little skosh during
an RTLS.  AWS&T is not perfect by any means but its not the NY Post
either *S*

Can you share more . . . or offer a cite where I could read more other
than what is widely available.  The NASA website has a good RTLS
discussion in the description of the STS but if you have more, I would
appreciate it.

Thanks in advance and take care . . .

John

P.S.  Hey Rusty, If you are still lurking out there, do you have
a .pdf or two on the subject?
John - 16 Aug 2007 04:49 GMT
> 1) The gap filler EVA was done by an astronaut on the end of the SSRMS
> while the proposed tile repair EVA would be done by an astronaut on the
[quoted text clipped - 37 lines]
> but because RTLS is less dangerous than popularly imagined. It's been a
> certified intact abort mode since Day 1.)

Jorge,

Thank you for a very cogent discussion of the risk factors.

John
Bill Baker - 16 Aug 2007 08:00 GMT
> None of these are big risks but it is rapidly becoming clear that the
> benefit of the repair is not big either. I take no position on whether
> the repair should happen or not - I am simply annoyed at people who
> think this is a no-brainer, slam-dunk decision when they don't know all
> the complexities involved.

I appreciate your expert opinion and insider vantage point, but this
essentially is a no-brainer decision.  The downside risk in political
terms is so prohibitive that there is no way that NASA senior
management will risk reentry with the full flight crew unless some form
of repair is attempted.  The engineering analysis will be a relatively
minor factor in the decision except in defining the extremes of the
risk calculation.

If NASA sends the bird home with seven souls onboard and they die due
to a thermal protection that will seem to the public eye to be a
virtual re-run of  the Columbia breakup--only time NASA will have known
about the tile damage in advance and done nothing to fix it--it's over.
It won't just mean grounding all the shuttles permanently, the
political fallout would lead to the cancellation of all the manned
spaceflight programs, current and future.  Our ISS obligations would be
met by transferring and subsidizing a handful of astronauts to the EU
and Russian programs, but basically we'd renege.  NASA would be slashed
back to a few relatively unambitious unmanned space exploration
programs.
MichaelJP - 16 Aug 2007 09:20 GMT
>> None of these are big risks but it is rapidly becoming clear that the
>> benefit of the repair is not big either. I take no position on whether
[quoted text clipped - 19 lines]
> basically we'd renege.  NASA would be slashed back to a few relatively
> unambitious unmanned space exploration programs.

I'm one one of those who would like to see a repair, but I know it is partly
because I'm interested in seeing how it's done and how it stands up.

You're right that a failure of the TPS in re-entry leading to vehicle loss
would surely doom the program, but what Jorge was saying is that there is a
measurable risk that an attempted repair could make things worse.

Shuttle loss after a botched repair would be just as bad politically as
shuttle loss with no repair so can't agree that it's a no-brainer, it has to
be a rational decision based on the risk analysis.
Robert Maas, see http://tinyurl.com/uh3t - 18 Aug 2007 08:20 GMT
> From: "MichaelJP" <m...@nospam.com>
> You're right that a failure of the TPS in re-entry leading to
[quoted text clipped - 5 lines]
> a no-brainer, it has to be a rational decision based on the risk
> analysis.

I disagree. If they don't try to fix it, and it burns up on entry,
it's yet another case of not even trying to fix anything. But if
they try to fix it, and something goes wrong, at least they tried
their best.

Also, a lot of the suggested failure modes with the repair-attempt
are things that can be detected before de-orbit. If the repair goes
well, they improve their chance of safe re-entry. If the repair
goes badly, they know it went badly in many cases, and can decide
to send a rescue mission instead of ever landing Endeavor. But the
kinds of things that may go wrong in absense of repair are all
things they won't learn until it's too late to change plans.

Also even if putting goo into the gouge has no effect at all on
safety, still they'll obtain a live test of how it really performs
during an actual entry, not just a simulated test on Earth. That
test really needs to be performed, and now seems like an optimal
time to run that test. (In addition to putting some goo into this
worrisome gouge, they ought to also put some in other places, such
as in cracks between tiles, any place the goo would experience a
different kind of heat/pressure combination during re-entry, but
where it won't disturb airflow enough to cause downstream damage.)

As for minimizing chance of collision of the remote arm with the
underside of the orbiter, I suggest they go very slowly. Instead of
the person on-site relaying a command to start moving and later
relaying a commad to STOP, whereby loss of the STOP command will
cause collision, they should have an auto-stop mode, whereby the
arm operator turns the arm on for a pre-determined length of time
to move a pre-determined distance, which is only halfway from
starting position to desired position, and repeat several more
times getting halfway from second position to goal equals third
position, halfway from third position to goal equals fourth
position, etc. until they are "close enough" and need no further
motion. It may take a little longer to get "close enough" compared
to a single START......STOP sequence, but given possible
intermittant loss of communication it seems the prudent way to
operate the arm.

If they actually try the repair, even if they accomplish no
increase in safety, still they will have acquired practical
knowledge in a wide variety of areas (communication and arm
control, astronaut performance, how the goo really works in space
when being applied, how the goo reacts to intense heat of re-entry,
how their simulations of the repaired situation agree with
reality). If they do nothing they learn only one thing (how their
simulations of the not-repaired situation compare with reality).
I.e. they learn a lot more if they try the repair.

And like I said, if they screw up and damage the underside really
badly, they can simply change plans and not bring Endeavor down at
all. Of course they might have all the flight crew onboard ISS
during the repair, except those which absolutely must be either in
Endeavor or on the spacewalk, which I think means two in danger
(one EVA and one arm-operator) and five safely in ISS just in case
the underside of Endeaver is completely punctured. And of course
one of those two would be already in spacesuit and the other ready
to grab a spacesuit on a moment's notice, before air has seriously
leaked out.
MichaelJP - 20 Aug 2007 14:09 GMT
>> From: "MichaelJP" <m...@nospam.com>
>> You're right that a failure of the TPS in re-entry leading to
[quoted text clipped - 65 lines]
> to grab a spacesuit on a moment's notice, before air has seriously
> leaked out.

And of course, if nothing else, the weight that NASA has assigned to the
risk of the repair going wrong raises concerns that they do not have a
proper TPS repair plan and training in place and ready to go.

Anyway moot points now - hope this one goes well and the concerns can be
remedied post-flight.
Craig Fink - 20 Aug 2007 15:00 GMT
>>> From: "MichaelJP" <m...@nospam.com>
>>> You're right that a failure of the TPS in re-entry leading to
[quoted text clipped - 72 lines]
> Anyway moot points now - hope this one goes well and the concerns can be
> remedied post-flight.

It's not a moot point until the deorbit burn.

People talk about how with any accident there is always some chain of event,
all contributing in some way as they go down the path to disaster. Changing
any one along the way would have broken the chain. And, the twenty-twenty
vision looking back at the chain of events. What about foresight, before
the event, the decisions along the path, was it simply an acceptable
decision or the best decision. Acceptable ones, the ones with no strong
objections, no proof of impending disaster seems to be NASA's mode of
operation. Comport and warm feeling for those making the decisions, on the
ground, from the safety of their desk. Worried about themselves, the
implications of a hurricane on them, not the others who have different
implications. Most of the time, never fully completing the chain of events,
having a successful mission and looking at that as proof that the right
choices were made. A recipe for disaster that is averted most of the time,
random, proof of their competence.

Who feels a warm fuzzy flying entry with an unrepaired heat sheild?

Who feels a warm fuzzy about coming home a day early to ensure
good "control" and communications, worried about a hurricane?

Who feels a warm about flying thru the top of a hurricane?
Skylon - 20 Aug 2007 16:05 GMT
> It's not a moot point until the deorbit burn.
>
[quoted text clipped - 19 lines]
>
> Who feels a warm about flying thru the top of a hurricane?

I don't think anybody feels warm and fuzzy about any of those, and I'd
question their sanity if they did. But I think this is coming down to
landing with the beast you know (some tile damage), versus the beast
you don't (the TPS repair).

Ya know, being just a pack of nerds on a web-board, at this point I'd
save the beating around the bush for post-flight. All we can do now is
hope MCC has made the right call and tomorrow a couple of twin sonic
booms will be heard over KSC or Edwards.

We're about to find out if NASA knows what "acceptable" damage to the
TPS is, post-Columbia. For better or worse.

-A.L.
hallerb@aol.com - 21 Aug 2007 00:03 GMT
> We're about to find out if NASA knows what "acceptable" damage to the
> TPS is, post-Columbia. For better or worse.
>
> -A.l

the price of a mistake, end of shuttle, end of manned space, basic end
of nasa as we know it, which may not be a bad thing, nasa currently
stands in the way of privatazition.

but i dont want any mre deaths
Jeff Findley - 16 Aug 2007 15:22 GMT
>> None of these are big risks but it is rapidly becoming clear that the
>> benefit of the repair is not big either. I take no position on whether
[quoted text clipped - 8 lines]
> attempted.  The engineering analysis will be a relatively minor factor in
> the decision except in defining the extremes of the risk calculation.

If this were really true, then NASA's manned space program should be
completely shut down now.  I don't believe this is true.  The exact opposite
is happening.  Deliberate analysis and testing is happening on the ground as
we speak.  NASA does not appear to be in a hurry to rush a decison, let
alone rush to a predetermined conclusion based on politics.

In other words, you're full of it.

> If NASA sends the bird home with seven souls onboard and they die due to a
> thermal protection that will seem to the public eye to be a virtual re-run
> of  the Columbia breakup--only time NASA will have known about the tile
> damage in advance and done nothing to fix it--it's over.

That might be a possibility, but I think it's unlikely given that the
decision to end the program by 2010 has already been made.  The shuttle's
days are numbered and some risk will be taken to keep the program flying
until it ends.

> It won't just mean grounding all the shuttles permanently, the political
> fallout would lead to the cancellation of all the manned spaceflight
> programs, current and future.

You're full of it.  There have been many deaths on the ground and on actual
spaceflights, but that hasn't stopped the US or Russian space program yet.
There are many deaths on big construction projects, yet there are still huge
structures going up every day around the planet.

> Our ISS obligations would be met by transferring and subsidizing a handful
> of astronauts to the EU and Russian programs, but basically we'd renege.
> NASA would be slashed back to a few relatively unambitious unmanned space
> exploration programs.

Doubtful.  This wouldn't fulfill the political goal of continuing to spend
manned space program money in the same districts that we're currently
spending money for the shuttle program.  This program is driven as much by
the politics of spending money as it is anything else.

Jeff
Signature

   "They that can give up essential liberty to obtain a
    little temporary safety deserve neither liberty nor
    safety"
- B. Franklin, Bartlett's Familiar Quotations (1919)

Derek Lyons - 16 Aug 2007 10:26 GMT
>3) One of the components of STA-54 is mildly toxic (tox level 1-2, IIRC)
>so the post-EVA cleanup in the airlock will need to be handled
>*extremely* carefully to avoid an eye/inhalation hazard.

Just out of curiosity, do you have a link to the descriptions of the
levels?  (I.E. is level 1 actually dangerous or merely slightly
paranoid.)

D.
Signature

Touch-twice life. Eat. Drink. Laugh.

http://derekl1963.livejournal.com/

-Resolved: To be more temperate in my postings.
Oct 5th, 2004 JDL

Jorge R. Frank - 16 Aug 2007 15:28 GMT
>> 3) One of the components of STA-54 is mildly toxic (tox level 1-2, IIRC)
>> so the post-EVA cleanup in the airlock will need to be handled
[quoted text clipped - 3 lines]
> levels?  (I.E. is level 1 actually dangerous or merely slightly
> paranoid.)

I think it's the same 1-4 scale used by the NFPA (1=irritant,
2=temporary incapacitation, etc).
Danny Deger - 16 Aug 2007 14:50 GMT
Three things disappoint me on NASA being prepared to do the repair.  One is
the comm situation.  NASA has been planning for an under the belly repair
for quite some time.  Why not have antennas put in place (on the arm
itself?) to insure good comm.  Good comm between the crew on the boom and
the arm operator is essential for this operation.

Second, apparently NASA has not done an inspace test of the "goo".  They
have tested the wash in space, but not the goo.

Third, apparently none of the onboard crew has ever worked with the goo
before.  Why not, for each flight, have the dedicated repair crewmen
practice applying goo to a test sample.

Danny Deger
www.dannydeger.net

>>> No, that is not a correct characterization. The repair task itself
>>> carries some risk of making the situation worse. NASA is taking all this
[quoted text clipped - 51 lines]
> less dangerous than popularly imagined. It's been a certified intact abort
> mode since Day 1.)
Craig Fink - 19 Aug 2007 12:57 GMT
>>  
>>> No, that is not a correct characterization. The repair task itself
[quoted text clipped - 27 lines]
> it, and the ISS crew doesn't relay the call in time to avoid a
> collision. I consider this a small but non-zero risk.

Easily worked around with one space walking astronaut in good communications
with both the station and the other space walking astronaut. "Stop" says
one spacewalker, "Stop" says the other spacewalking astronaut, "Stop, Stop"
hears the arm operator. Or, was it just "Stop", either way the arm operator
stops.

> 2) Rick has trained STA-54 application exactly once, in a 1-g glove box.
> Yes, the odds are the repair will go just fine. But there is a small
> chance something could go wrong and the repair site wind up worse than
> pre-repair.

Wow, sounds like NASA is unprepared to do repairs, everyone knows NASA likes
to choreograph all the space walks to the Nth degree. This really tells me
that there was zero training for the crew, NASA isn't seriously considering
repairing the heat shield. It was just lip service, to satisfy the CAIB, to
place a check in the right box, nothing else.

> 3) One of the components of STA-54 is mildly toxic (tox level 1-2, IIRC)
> so the post-EVA cleanup in the airlock will need to be handled
> *extremely* carefully to avoid an eye/inhalation hazard.

So, tell the astronaut to use gloves, eye and breathing protection. Oh yeah,
don't wipe your hands on your pants.

> 4) Inherent risks of EVA (MMOD, EMU puncture, etc). Driven home
> dramatically by Rick having to terminate today's EVA early due to glove
> damage. Repair *will* cause total EVA hours to go up (EVA 5 will be
> added for the tasks displaced by EVA 4) and so will the cumulative risk.

The current risk during an EVA is in the category of "has not happened yet",
it's a risk to only one crew member, not seven. That makes it around 1
(6hrX2) in "how many hours of EVA time has been"?

> None of these are big risks but it is rapidly becoming clear that the
> benefit of the repair is not big either. I take no position on whether
> the repair should happen or not - I am simply annoyed at people who
> think this is a no-brainer, slam-dunk decision when they don't know all
> the complexities involved. Would we learn something valuable by trying
> anyway? Sure.

Sure, NASA would be flying the Shuttle within the original specifications if
they repaired it. Flying it outside specifications, not repairing it. I
doubt the original specification contained anything about it being
acceptable to fly with hole all the way down to the felt pad in the bottom
of the Orbiter. To me, it's pretty much a no-brainer to fly within
specifications when it is so simple to do so.

Let see, Challenger flying outside specification, the O-rings were not
designed to have any erosion, but erosion to the O-rings became acceptable
as they had made it safely to orbit with erosion.

Columbia, flying outside specification, the heat shield wasn't designed to
fly through a debris field.

Here a little more, Challenger, increased test pressure to ensure the
O-rings are working properly, seats the inner O-Ring in the wrong
direction. This increases frequency and magnitude of the O-ring erosion
problems.

Endeavour, increased hold time with the External Tank full of fuel, to allow
more time to inspect for ice on the tank. Creating a higher probability of
ice build up and increase frequency (probability) of shedding large pieces
of foam.

Signature

Craig Fink
Courtesy E-Mail Welcome @ WeBeGood@GMail.Com

Jim in Houston - 19 Aug 2007 17:06 GMT
>>>  
>>>> No, that is not a correct characterization. The repair task itself
[quoted text clipped - 91 lines]
>ice build up and increase frequency (probability) of shedding large pieces
>of foam.
This entire post was incorrectly attributed to me. In fact it contains
posts from both Jorge and me.
Jim in Houston.

Contrary to popular opinion RN does not mean Real Nerd!

Teddy Roosevelt's mother said: "Fill what is empty, empty what is full, and scratch where it itches"

Signature

Posted via a free Usenet account from http://www.teranews.com

Jeff Findley - 15 Aug 2007 18:01 GMT
> Talk is they are thinking of not repairing it, but I hope they do, if only
> to get some good experience if there turns out to be a more serious case
> in the future. Experience both at executing the repair and how it fares
> during re-entry.

Repairing the damaged area introduces risks as well, so if the ground tests
show that the shuttle can land safely, they likely won't risk a repair.
Sometimes the cure can be worse for the patient than the illness.

Jeff
Signature

   "They that can give up essential liberty to obtain a
    little temporary safety deserve neither liberty nor
    safety"
- B. Franklin, Bartlett's Familiar Quotations (1919)

Robert Maas, see http://tinyurl.com/uh3t - 17 Aug 2007 18:41 GMT
> From: "MichaelJP" <m...@nospam.com>
> Talk is they are thinking of not repairing it, but I hope they
> do, if only to get some good experience if there turns out to be a
> more serious case in the future. Experience both at executing the
> repair and how it fares during re-entry.

I agree completely. The whole point of the ISS+STS is to learn how
to do new things in space (and also learn some new science, but
that has become a very minor part of the project). This seems to me
an excellent opportunity to try to learn how to do something new,
even if it isn't *necessary* to do now. Virtually none of the
things being done in space are necessary *now*, they are merely
necessary in the future, if and when we go back to Luna or we go to
Mars. This falls into that same category. In particular we need to
get experience dealing with emergencies that might occur without
warning. We got lucky with Apollo 13, that with no prior practice
we just happened to be able to figure out a way to use readily
available materials to accomplish a fix good enough to avoid loss
of life. Getting that lucky is a rare event. Compare for example
the current crisis in the mine where none of the trapped miners
have been located yet and three rescue workers have already died in
a later collapse, or the WTC collapse that killed so many rescue
workers. Believing you'll always get lucky, succeeding in a
dangerous situation where you've never practiced, is stupid.
Practice doesn't make perfect, but it still improves the odds.
IMO, if there's suitable repair materials on board, they should be
tried, just to see what effect it really has, and to get experience
with the repair itself. Just my opinion. Nobody cares what I think.
Jim in Houston - 17 Aug 2007 23:28 GMT
>  Just my opinion. Nobody cares what I think.

I care Robert. Now go take a Valium and rest.
Jim in Houston.

Contrary to popular opinion RN does not mean Real Nerd!

Teddy Roosevelt's mother said: "Fill what is empty, empty what is full, and scratch where it itches"

Signature

Posted via a free Usenet account from http://www.teranews.com

 
Sign In
Join
My Latest Posts
My Monitored Threads
My Blog
My Photo Gallery
My Profile
My Homepage

Start New Thread
Enable EMail Alerts
Rate this Thread



©2008 Advenet LLC   Privacy Policy - Terms of Use
This website includes both content owned or controlled by Advenet as well as content owned or controlled by third parties.