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Space Forum / Shuttle / January 2007Chinese test
This event seems to be a huge miscalculation on their part. Surely someone in their government must have realised that this is dangerous to their reputation and hence their image in the world? I mean, if anyone can prove it was debris from this which damages any vehicle, I can see some heavy legal costs coming soon. Let us hope it al re enters quickly and they do not repeat it. Considering its been reported on many ordinary news broadcasts, and the stress is on the debris angle not the implication from the military angle, I think they have miscalculated badly here. Unless they are thinking of becominga huge protection racket, IE, pay us or we will blow up your vehicle... hardly likely! Brian  SignatureBrian's Gmail account brian1gaff@gmail.com Downstairs. > This event seems to be a huge miscalculation on their part. The chinese rarely miscalculate. Yes, there will be protests, angry diplomatic letters and lots of rethoric in the west. But in the end, the west will still buy from China. China is in a position of strength, especially with the USA having lost all credibility in foreign affairs in the world. If the USA wants CHINA to stop such practices, then the USA will have to give China something in exchange. >> This event seems to be a huge miscalculation on their part. > [quoted text clipped - 6 lines] > to stop such practices, then the USA will have to give China something in > exchange. You mean like a satellite killer of our own? Oh wait, we've already got one of those. George > This event seems to be a huge miscalculation on their part. Surely someone > in their government must have realised that this is dangerous to their > reputation and hence their image in the world? I think it was a smart move on their part. Previously if China had demanded that someone stop taking satellite imagery of an area, or if they demanded that Taiwan get degraded GPS/Galileo, the offending organization would just say "no". Now that organization will have to think twice about such a demand. A one-off successful ASAT test gives any such future demands considerable weight. The US did exactly the same thing. Remember that Europe's Galileo has agreed to degrade its signal whenever and wherever the US wants? The reason for this is that the US threatened Galileo with destruction should they fail to comply. A threat which was backed up by two ASAT tests (one kinetic, one laser). So in the short-term does degrade China's image. But in the long-term they become someone you don't want to upset. |
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