Risk Assessment: Soyuz

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rk - 26 Feb 2006 05:37 GMT

There were risk assessments for Apollo. And, as we are all aware, various
risk assessments for Space Shuttle missions.

Has a quantitative risk assessment of a Soyuz mission been published?

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rk, Just an OldEngineer
"The number of people having any connection with the project must be
restricted in an almost vicious manner. Use a small number of good people."
-- Kelly Johnson in Skunk Works

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John - 27 Feb 2006 15:23 GMT

RK,

Jim Oberg might have something. I know he did some work for NASA doing
risk assessments of Soyuz quite a bit ago. I have not read anything
particularly quantitiative or comparitive, but Mr. Oberg did publish an
interesting essay of some of Soyuz issues he uncovered while doing that
work. One I recall, was a landing uncomfortably near a school house.

John

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Jim Oberg - 27 Feb 2006 20:10 GMT

My study was for landing reliability only -- and maybe it's
time to post the results on my website. It's dated, but reliability
hasn't gotten any better in the last ten years.

> RK,
>
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>
> John

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Space Forum / Shuttle / February 2006

Risk Assessment: Soyuz