How serious is the May window?
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Jim Oberg - 21 Feb 2006 04:10 GMT Yeah, I -KNOW- everybody is supposed to be 'working toward' a mid-May liftoff, but then why are the working troops I talk with all so skeptical that it can -- or even SHOULD - be done? Any other 'straws in the space wind'?
Ten Quidado - 21 Feb 2006 04:47 GMT > Yeah, I -KNOW- everybody is > supposed to be 'working toward' a [quoted text clipped - 3 lines] > SHOULD - be done? Any other > 'straws in the space wind'? I'm betting on August.
Jorge R. Frank - 21 Feb 2006 05:01 GMT "Ten Quidado" <TenQuidado@delespana.net> wrote in news:kXwKf.2381$VI6.1288 @newsread1.news.pas.earthlink.net:
>> Yeah, I -KNOW- everybody is >> supposed to be 'working toward' a [quoted text clipped - 5 lines] > > I'm betting on August. I'd bet against it. The launch windows for the rest of the year are May 3- 22, July 1-19, August 29-Sept 14, Oct 26-30, and Dec 23-27. If they don't launch in May or July, there's not much August window available.
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John Doe - 21 Feb 2006 06:42 GMT > I'd bet against it. The launch windows for the rest of the year are May 3- > 22, July 1-19, August 29-Sept 14, Oct 26-30, and Dec 23-27. How many weeks prior to launch must the stack be at the pad for loading/prepapartions ? 3 or 4 ?
How long does it take to take the shuttle in its current state and have it fully stacked and ready to roll out from the VAB ?
I would assume NASA would want a target between may 10 and 15. This gives NASA room to fix minor glitches after a scrub (as well as weather scrubs).
So the question is: for a theoretical May 12th launch, what is the date where NASA must begin the actual work to start moving hardware and assembly it in the VAB ?
I suspect that in a couple of weeks, it should become more clear if NASA will try a may launch.
Chris Bennetts - 21 Feb 2006 07:52 GMT > How many weeks prior to launch must the stack be at the pad for > loading/prepapartions ? 3 or 4 ? About that, generally closer to 4 IIRC.
> How long does it take to take the shuttle in its current state and have > it fully stacked and ready to roll out from the VAB ? The solids aren't finished yet, so they'll need to be done, along with the ET. I don't know what state the orbiter's in. From orbiter rollover to rollout usually takes about a week.
> I would assume NASA would want a target between may 10 and 15. This > gives NASA room to fix minor glitches after a scrub (as well as weather scrubs). > > So the question is: for a theoretical May 12th launch, what is the date > where NASA must begin the actual work to start moving hardware and > assembly it in the VAB ? Stacking of the solids started months ago. For a May 12 launch, I'd expect to see Discovery roll over around late March to (more likely) early April.
> I suspect that in a couple of weeks, it should become more clear if NASA > will try a may launch. If Discovery hasn't been rolled over by mid-April, she won't fly in May.
I still wouldn't completely rule out Discovery's next trip being aboard an SCA rather than a shuttle stack.
--Chris
Jim Oberg - 21 Feb 2006 14:13 GMT > I still wouldn't completely rule out Discovery's next trip being aboard an > SCA rather than a shuttle stack. Since there are no longer any shuttle processing facilities apart from KSC, I'm assuming you are referring to museum disposal?
Chris Bennetts - 22 Feb 2006 09:31 GMT >>I still wouldn't completely rule out Discovery's next trip being aboard an >>SCA rather than a shuttle stack. > > Since there are no longer any shuttle processing > facilities apart from KSC, I'm assuming you are > referring to museum disposal? That's what I had in mind.
--Chris
Katipo - 21 Feb 2006 20:09 GMT > "Ten Quidado" <TenQuidado@delespana.net> wrote in news:kXwKf.2381$VI6.1288 > @newsread1.news.pas.earthlink.net: [quoted text clipped - 12 lines] > 22, July 1-19, August 29-Sept 14, Oct 26-30, and Dec 23-27. If they don't > launch in May or July, there's not much August window available. Exactly how do launch windows? My understanding it is the time when the distance the craft needs to travel to reach its destination is the shortest. Is that all there is to it? How come there are so few windows for the shuttle?
Katipo
Joe Delphi - 21 Feb 2006 22:56 GMT > Exactly how do launch windows? My understanding it is the time when the > distance the craft needs to travel to reach its destination is the shortest. > Is that all there is to it? How come there are so few windows for the > shuttle? > > Katipo I think it also has to do with the amount of sunlight available at the Trans-Atlantic abort sites.
JD
Greg D. Moore (Strider) - 22 Feb 2006 01:27 GMT > > Exactly how do launch windows? My understanding it is the time when the > > distance the craft needs to travel to reach its destination is the [quoted text clipped - 6 lines] > I think it also has to do with the amount of sunlight available at the > Trans-Atlantic abort sites. Among other things.
For at least the next few launches, they want the launch to be in sunlight for camera purposes.
But they also have limits on the position of the station and sunlight on the station, etc.
> JD Jorge R. Frank - 22 Feb 2006 03:43 GMT >> "Ten Quidado" <TenQuidado@delespana.net> wrote in >> news:kXwKf.2381$VI6.1288 @newsread1.news.pas.earthlink.net: [quoted text clipped - 17 lines] > the distance the craft needs to travel to reach its destination is the > shortest. Is that all there is to it? There's a little more to it. :-) A launch window is actually a composite of several constraints:
1) Rendezvous planar window - roughly speaking, the target orbit plane is fixed in space while the Earth rotates under it. There are only two times each day when the launch site passes through the orbit plane, one on the south-to-north leg of the orbit and the other on the north-to-south. The second one isn't used by the shuttle for range safety reasons; it would cause the ET and SRBs to come down in inconvenient places.
2) Rendezvous phase window - once you've launched in-plane with the target, you have to catch up to it. How long that takes depends on where the target is within that orbit plane. If a vehicle has limits on phasing capability, it may not be able to launch in every planar window. The shuttle orbiter doesn't rendezvous until flight day 3 or 4 so it has enough phasing capability to launch into any planar window.
The two constraints above apply to any rendezvous flight, and since all future shuttle flights will rendezvous with something (either ISS or HST), they always apply. For the shuttle, they don't affect whether you can launch on a particular day, just what time of day you can launch (planar window) and how long the window is open (both).
For all shuttle-ISS flights, a third constraint applies.
3) Beta constraint - beta is the angle between the orbit plane and the line of sight to the sun. It determines how much of the orbit is lit and how much is in the shadow of the Earth. That affects thermal control of both orbiter and ISS, and ISS solar power generation. It turns out that if the beta angle is greater than sixty degrees while an orbiter is docked to ISS, it's impossible to find an orientation for the stack that satisfies all three constraints, so NASA doesn't launch on those dates. This constraint isn't very limiting; it creates "cutouts" in the launch window every 2-3 months that last 2-3 weeks. These cutouts fall during the nighttime during the summer, and during the daytime during the winter.
> How come there are so few > windows for the shuttle? There are two additional constraints that apply to the shuttle Return-To- Flight test missions:
4) Daylight launch - for photography to see if the foam-shedding problem is fixed.
5) Lit ET separation - for photography of the ET from the orbiter's umbilical well camera, for the same reason.
In practice, 5) is more constraining than 4). They are very limiting; in combination with the beta cutouts, they limit shuttle launches to four periods during the spring/summer/fall roughly two months apart lasting roughly 2-3 weeks, with two more periods during the winter lasting maybe a few days, if you're lucky. These two constraints go away after two flights with no ET foam shedding above the allowable limits.
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John Doe - 22 Feb 2006 05:10 GMT > Exactly how do launch windows? My understanding it is the time when the > distance the craft needs to travel to reach its destination is the shortest. Nop. Space station doesn't follow the earth's rotation. It follows an essentially fixed circular path.
Twice a day, the earth's rotation places KSC directly under that path. It is only when KSC is under that path that they can launch the shuttle which can then accelerate along that path and meet with the station travelling in exactly the same direction.
Think about 2 bowling balls. You can throw then in intersectinbg paths, but when they meet, they collide. You need to throw the second one to go slightly faster and not only in the same direction, but also the same "path" so that it will gently meet the first one and stay with it.
Due to the earth's rotation, the path of the ISS's orbit moves over the surface of the earth at roughly 1600km/h. If the shuttle doesn't launch at exactly the right time, it needs to compensate and that costs a lot of fuel. Because fuel is limited, they have a narrow launch window of about 10 minutes before and after the exact time.
Furthermore, because of geography, the shuttle can only launch in a north-east direction. And this means that only once a day is there a launch window where shuttle can fly north east and meet up with the ISS.
To complicate matters, the ISS's orbit actually does rotate a little bit every day. So every day, the launch time moves by a few minutes.
Current requirements are that the shuttle launch in daytime and ET can be photographed once in orbit while still in daylight. So this restricts launchs to only certain periods onf the year when this is possible.
Chris Bennetts - 21 Feb 2006 09:20 GMT > Yeah, I -KNOW- everybody is > supposed to be 'working toward' a [quoted text clipped - 3 lines] > SHOULD - be done? Any other > 'straws in the space wind'? I'm half a world away from the shuttle workers, so take this with a grain of salt. My guess is that the workers are latching on to all of the talk regarding things like bringing forward retirement, cutting the flight rate to 1/year, the looming 2010 deadline, and the general community feeling that the shuttle is too old and unsafe.
Additionally, there's very little good news. There's no talk of delaying retirement by a few years if things go well, and hardly anyone is talking up the fact that the shuttle's safety is as good as anything else flying, etc. CEV's on the horizon, but it's still a long way off.
It must be pretty hard for a worker involved with a program with so much negativity surrounding it to remain positive about their job. I'd be much more surprised if you *weren't* detecting a significant level of skepticism.
--Chris
john2375@hotmail.com - 21 Feb 2006 12:51 GMT "I still wouldn't completely rule out Discovery's next trip being aboard an SCA rather than a shuttle stack" What's that supposed to mean??
Let's say during launch, some foam falls off...end of program? Or another year of redesigning the ET??
John Doe - 22 Feb 2006 04:16 GMT > Let's say during launch, some foam falls off...end of program? Or > another year of redesigning the ET?? Foam will not fall off. NASA will probably use canned footage instead of the live video to make sure nobody in the public sees the foam fall off :-) :-)
John Doe - 22 Feb 2006 04:14 GMT > the talk regarding things like bringing forward retirement, cutting the > flight rate to 1/year, the looming 2010 deadline, and the general > community feeling that the shuttle is too old and unsafe. > > Additionally, there's very little good news. There's no talk of delaying > retirement by a few years if things go well, Those who financially benefit from CEV spending are probably working very hard to make sure the shuttle stands 0 chance of surviving beyond the deadline and would even want to kill it even before that. The recent stories about the engines further re-enforce this.
As long as shuttle is seen to be viable, the USA government could decide to delay or cancel funding for that CEV thing.
making damned sure that the Shuttle is on its way to the graveyard increases the odds that funding for CEV continues no matter how much cost overruns will prop up because there just won't be any alternative.
Reed Snellenberger - 21 Feb 2006 14:19 GMT "Jim Oberg" <jameseoberg@houston.rr.com> wrote in news:8pwKf.28428 $7y1.14428@tornado.texas.rr.com:
> Yeah, I -KNOW- everybody is > supposed to be 'working toward' a [quoted text clipped - 3 lines] > SHOULD - be done? Any other > 'straws in the space wind'? Isn't the pacing item on RTF-2 the ET re-work at Michoud? Things have been sort of quiet on that front, apart from the change in the ET contract that was announced at the end of January.
 Signature I was punching a text message into my | Reed Snellenberger phone yesterday and thought, "they need | GPG KeyID: 5A978843 to make a phone that you can just talk | rsnellenberger into." Major Thomb | -at-houston.rr.com
Brian Thorn - 21 Feb 2006 19:03 GMT >Isn't the pacing item on RTF-2 the ET re-work at Michoud? Things have been >sort of quiet on that front, apart from the change in the ET contract that >was announced at the end of January. The ET itself is supposedly ahead of schedule. The big question seems to be the wind tunnel testing of the PAL Ramp-less configuration. That will be a nail-biter.
There are some new concerns with SSME contamination as well.
Brian
Herb Schaltegger - 21 Feb 2006 19:21 GMT >> Isn't the pacing item on RTF-2 the ET re-work at Michoud? Things have been >> sort of quiet on that front, apart from the change in the ET contract that [quoted text clipped - 7 lines] > > Brian I'm a lot more concerned about SSME contamination than I am about the aerodynamics of dumping the PAL ramp.
 Signature Herb
There ain't no such thing as a free lunch. ~ RAH
Bob Haller - 21 Feb 2006 20:17 GMT How about the debris in the engines and fuel lines? I posted earlier this may require taking apart the engines to remove.
That will be a big delay and the debris could cause a engine fire:( the start of another bad day..
Bob Haller - 21 Feb 2006 23:14 GMT I once worked for a company clearly going out of business, the most demoralizing thing I have ever been thru.
That must be close to the conditions today, every job closer to unemployment, budget cutting the pimary goal, lets canibalize a working vehicle for parts.....
oh dont make any mistakes you might kill another crew.....
nasa would be far better off to upgrade the shuttle for unmanned operations to keep it flying till the replacement vehicle is available, it will cost a ittle more but unmanned elminates recertifying and that saves bucks unlimited....
keeping the workers happy is important to the safety of the program
rk - 25 Feb 2006 06:46 GMT > nasa would be far better off to upgrade the shuttle for unmanned > operations to keep it flying till the replacement vehicle is > available, it will cost a ittle more but unmanned elminates > recertifying and that saves bucks unlimited.... OK, you're the expert, so I'll ask: Why is recertification not necessary for unmanned operation?
 Signature rk, Just an OldEngineer "The number of people having any connection with the project must be restricted in an almost vicious manner. Use a small number of good people." -- Kelly Johnson in Skunk Works
Terrell Miller - 22 Feb 2006 01:59 GMT > Yeah, I -KNOW- everybody is > supposed to be 'working toward' a [quoted text clipped - 3 lines] > SHOULD - be done? Any other > 'straws in the space wind'? on a not entirely unrelated note... http://www.usatoday.com/tech/science/space/2006-02-20-atlantis-retirement_x.htm
 Signature Terrell Miller millerto@bellsouth.net
"If Pop is a basket of kittens, and Punk a snarky little terrier, modern Prog is the giant squid beast that eats them all" -Entertainment Weekly
Bob Haller - 25 Feb 2006 23:51 GMT OK, you're the expert, so I'll ask: Why is recertification not necessary for unmanned operation?
no chance of killing crew:) We have at least one extra orbiter since atlantis is being retired early.
so we could safely cointinue flying the shuttle even beyond the 2010 date till a new heavy lift system is available
rk - 26 Feb 2006 01:20 GMT Please stop snipping and replying to a post that wasn't the source. Hiding text and your answer are not effective forms of making a technical point.
<restoring context>
> nasa would be far better off to upgrade the shuttle for unmanned > operations to keep it flying till the replacement vehicle is > available, it will cost a ittle more but unmanned elminates > recertifying and that saves bucks unlimited.... </restoring context>
> OK, you're the expert, so I'll ask: Why is recertification not > necessary > for unmanned operation? > > no chance of killing crew:) I don't see the humor here. Please explain.
Now, you're the expert, so please discuss the following. Suppose that loss of control of the orbiter occurs during rendezvous and docking with ISS? Suppose that uncontrolled propulsion systems firing are made with the orbiter docked to ISS? I don't see how the lack of recertification will help here. I don't see how the lack of humans on-board will help here. In your answer please consider -- as just one source of information -- NESC document RP-05-18, Shuttle Orbiter Reaction Jet Driver (RJD) Independent Technical Assessment/Inspection Report. Also discuss the loss of control of a 200,000+ lb orbiter during reentry and how the lack of certification and a crew on board to deal with malfunctions is safe.
> We have at least one extra orbiter since > atlantis is being retired early. Irrelevant. Please stay on topic.
> so we could safely cointinue flying the shuttle even beyond the 2010 > date till a new heavy lift system is available Please address safety issues including the points above.
 Signature rk, Just an OldEngineer "The number of people having any connection with the project must be restricted in an almost vicious manner. Use a small number of good people." -- Kelly Johnson in Skunk Works -- rk, Just an OldEngineer "The number of people having any connection with the project must be restricted in an almost vicious manner. Use a small number of good people." -- Kelly Johnson in Skunk Works
Bob Haller - 26 Feb 2006 03:25 GMT Please stop snipping and replying to a post that wasn't the source. Hiding text and your answer are not effective forms of making a technical point.
<restoring context>
Bob Haller wrote:
> nasa would be far better off to upgrade the shuttle for unmanned > operations to keep it flying till the replacement vehicle is > available, it will cost a ittle more but unmanned elminates > recertifying and that saves bucks unlimited.... </restoring context>
Bob Haller wrote:
> OK, you're the expert, so I'll ask: Why is recertification not > necessary > for unmanned operation?
> no chance of killing crew:) I don't see the humor here. Please explain.
Now, you're the expert, so please discuss the following. Suppose that loss of control of the orbiter occurs during rendezvous and docking with ISS? Suppose that uncontrolled propulsion systems firing are made with the orbiter docked to ISS? I don't see how the lack of recertification will help here. I don't see how the lack of humans on-board will help here. In your answer please consider -- as just one source of information -- NESC document RP-05-18, Shuttle Orbiter Reaction Jet Driver (RJD) Independent Technical Assessment/Inspection Report. Also discuss the loss of control of a 200,000+ lb orbiter during reentry and how the lack of certification and a crew on board to deal with malfunctions is safe.
> We have at least one extra orbiter since > atlantis is being retired early. Irrelevant. Please stay on topic.
> so we could safely cointinue flying the shuttle even beyond the 2010 > date till a new heavy lift system is available Please address safety issues including the points above.
-- rk, Just an OldEngineer "The number of people having any connection with the project must be restricted in an almost vicious manner. Use a small number of good people." -- Kelly Johnson in Skunk Works -- rk, Just an OldEngineer "The number of people having any connection with the project must be restricted in an almost vicious manner. Use a small number of good people." -- Kelly Johnson in Skunk Works
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Is this enough pasting for you???/:(
I put a smiley behind cant kill a crew, since the only reason the shuttle is being shut down is the risk of killing another crew. Up untill columbia most here and certinally nasa were happy to fly this system at least another 20 years...
Revendous and docking would FIRST invoplve a soyuz crew flying over to manually fly and dock the shuttle to the station! Docking of shuttlke wouldnt be automated!
shuttle docked to ISS would have ISS crew in shuttle as needed
uncontrolled engine firing of shuttle can occur at any time, its one shuttle trouble that would have to be addressed to continue past 2010..its a danger today assuming RTF ever occurs
on reentry, white sands or a off shore landing area would have to be used to minimize danger during reentry. but even with manned reentry there are non recoverable failure modes that a live crew cant help, columbia is a excellent example.
Have a question for YOU, if the next flight sees more foam loss how will the station be finished and supported till the new system is up and running?
rk - 26 Feb 2006 03:54 GMT You still do not deal with the loss of control of the Shuttle as you have not eliminated the risk but simply shifted it in one case and fantasized it away in another. And here I thought you actually cared about safety. You don't.
By the way, you were so worried about the sounds on the space station. Did you ever relay your concerns to the authorities that they were handling it all wrong and it was unsafe? Or were you too much of a chicken even for that?
Unless you have something intelligent to say, I will probably simply not replay to any more of your babble.
> Please stop snipping and replying to a post that wasn't the source. > Hiding [quoted text clipped - 92 lines] > will the station be finished and supported till the new system is > up and running?
 Signature rk, Just an OldEngineer "The number of people having any connection with the project must be restricted in an almost vicious manner. Use a small number of good people." -- Kelly Johnson in Skunk Works -- rk, Just an OldEngineer "The number of people having any connection with the project must be restricted in an almost vicious manner. Use a small number of good people." -- Kelly Johnson in Skunk Works
Jorge R. Frank - 26 Feb 2006 04:17 GMT >>> OK, you're the expert, so I'll ask: Why is recertification not >>> necessary [quoted text clipped - 3 lines] > > I don't see the humor here. Please explain. More to the point, the CAIB doesn't make an exception for it:
R9.2-1 Prior to operating the Shuttle beyond 2010, develop and conduct a vehicle recertification at the material, component, subsystem, and system levels. Recertification requirements should be included in the Service Life Extension Program.
 Signature JRF
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Bob Haller - 26 Feb 2006 20:37 GMT The safety board was talking about a MANNED vehicle, take out people requirements can be updated.
I noticed no one addressed what will happen if the next shuttle looses more foam?
rk - 27 Feb 2006 05:32 GMT >The safety board was talking about a MANNED vehicle, take out people >requirements can be updated. The ISS is manned.
If you use your new Soyuz idea than that will be manned.
The Earth is manned for reentry.
Please show that the CAIB report referred to only manned missions. It's your assertion, back it up.
>I noticed no one addressed what will happen if the next shuttle looses >more foam? I noticed it had nothing to do with the topic at hand and is thus irrelevant to this conversation. Or do you just want to change the topic to avoid the fact that your recommended plan is unsafe?
 Signature rk, Just an OldEngineer "The number of people having any connection with the project must be restricted in an almost vicious manner. Use a small number of good people." -- Kelly Johnson in Skunk Works
rk - 27 Feb 2006 05:30 GMT >>>> OK, you're the expert, so I'll ask: Why is recertification not >>>> necessary for unmanned operation? [quoted text clipped - 10 lines] > system levels. Recertification requirements should be included in > the Service Life Extension Program. And Hallerb is an obsessive rule follower. Why does he disregard this recommendation which the NASA Administrator said will be followed?
 Signature rk, Just an OldEngineer "The number of people having any connection with the project must be restricted in an almost vicious manner. Use a small number of good people." -- Kelly Johnson in Skunk Works
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