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STS cancellation in FY'06?

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Herb Schaltegger - 20 Sep 2005 18:01 GMT
Anyone else see this yet?

"David Radzanowski at OMB issued an action to NASA at the beginning of
September asking the agency to provide him with an estimate of what
shutdown costs would result from a termination of the Space Shuttle
program in FY 2006. NASA provided a response to OMB on 9 September."

< http://www.nasawatch.com/archives/2005/09/is_omb_consider.html>

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Brian Gaff - 20 Sep 2005 20:07 GMT
That would make no sense at all.

Brian

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> Anyone else see this yet?
>
[quoted text clipped - 4 lines]
>
> < http://www.nasawatch.com/archives/2005/09/is_omb_consider.html>
John Doe - 20 Sep 2005 22:42 GMT
> That would make no sense at all.

Unless NASA/CAIB is willing to move 2010 deadline to 2012, based on the
fact that the shuttle will have been iddle 2 more years than the CAIB
had originally anticipated, then someone will need to find an alternate
way to launch ISS modules.

It is normal and good that NASA would ask how much it would cost to
launch the remaining modules on alternate launchers versus continued
Shuttle operations.

This is especially true if the 2010 deadline is really immovable and an
alternate launcher will be needed anyways.

Lets assume for sake of discussion, that ESA has told NASA that it would
cost 300million to adapt ATV to imitate shuttle's cargo bay, and ESA
would then charge 200 million per launch. It might then make sense to
kill shuttle right away and pay ESA to fulfill's the USA's obligations.

What I found telling in the Apollo-on-steroids announcement was the
mention that Michoud and Stennis would continue to be used for the new
Apollo. It seems to me that NASA would want to ensure that facilities
that reli on Shuttle spending could quickly be shifted to developping
and producing the new Apollo, thus reducing job losses etc etc.
Rene Altena - 23 Sep 2005 18:02 GMT
> That would make no sense at all.

Why not? After initial costs, it generates budget for developing CEV...

Rene
Brian Thorn - 20 Sep 2005 23:28 GMT
>Anyone else see this yet?
>
[quoted text clipped - 4 lines]
>
>< http://www.nasawatch.com/archives/2005/09/is_omb_consider.html>

I'm not at all surprised, having expected this since the 114 PAL
event.
.
NASA is already raiding everything else to pay for more ET foam
improvement, over and above the $3.5 Billion NASA already asked for
the Shuttle in FY06, which might, if they're lucky, result in *one*
Shuttle launch.

At some point, even NASA is going to have to ask "at what point is
Shuttle no longer worth everyone else's sacrifice?" Evidently, OMB has
already decided that point has been passed. I wonder how hard NASA
would fight if the decision comes down from the White House. Griffin
would probably make a big show of it, but I doubt his heart would be
in it.

Brian
Scott J - 21 Sep 2005 02:23 GMT
> At some point, even NASA is going to have to ask "at what point is
> Shuttle no longer worth everyone else's sacrifice?" Evidently, OMB has
[quoted text clipped - 4 lines]
>
> Brian

An interesting blurb from NASAWatch.com but in the wake of Katrina OMB was
probably asking all federal agencies for things that could be cut.  Shuttle
was just the low hanging fruit at NASA.
David Ball - 21 Sep 2005 17:48 GMT
>Anyone else see this yet?
>
[quoted text clipped - 4 lines]
>
>< http://www.nasawatch.com/archives/2005/09/is_omb_consider.html>

Afaik, OMB studies whatever it's told to study, even if the purpose is
to prove something is unwise or just to study unlikely contingencies.

Think of the military. If they executed even 1 in 100 of the war plan
contingencies they've drawn up, I doubt any of us would still be
alive.

-- David
Bob Haller - 21 Sep 2005 21:57 GMT
Ahh I applaude the shut down if it occurs. Invest all the savings in
fast tracking the replacements and move on before another crew dies....

I think they know the foam CANT be fixed, at a reasonable cost and this
is the first sign.....
Mark Lopa - 21 Sep 2005 23:16 GMT
> Ahh I applaude the shut down if it occurs. Invest all the savings in
> fast tracking the replacements and move on before another crew dies....
>
> I think they know the foam CANT be fixed, at a reasonable cost and this
> is the first sign.....

Did you read the post you responded to?
Rene Altena - 23 Sep 2005 18:05 GMT
>>Anyone else see this yet?
>>
[quoted text clipped - 11 lines]
> contingencies they've drawn up, I doubt any of us would still be
> alive.

Well... there is a plan for the military that helps us all. Withdraw from
Iraq one (1 !) day earlier than planned... this will generate enough budget
to solve the hunger problem in Africa _for ever_ !!!!!

Think about it.

Rene
Terrell Miller - 24 Sep 2005 15:33 GMT
> Well... there is a plan for the military that helps us all. Withdraw from
> Iraq one (1 !) day earlier than planned... this will generate enough budget
> to solve the hunger problem in Africa _for ever_ !!!!!
>
> Think about it.

okay Rene, you have the floor.

Explain to us, precisely and distinctly, how you would use a
hypothetical budget savings to solve hunger in Africa forever.

Don't give us generic answers. Be very, very specific about the exact
programs that you would execute and exactly how and where they would be
done.

...?

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Rene Altena - 25 Sep 2005 14:06 GMT
>> Well... there is a plan for the military that helps us all. Withdraw from
>> Iraq one (1 !) day earlier than planned... this will generate enough
[quoted text clipped - 6 lines]
> Explain to us, precisely and distinctly, how you would use a hypothetical
> budget savings to solve hunger in Africa forever.

it is not a hypothetical budget saving. I say: don't stop the war in Iraq,
just leave 1 day earlier than planned and use the money for that last day to
solve the hunger problem.

As discussed in the UN, if all rich nations would use 0,7% of their Gross
National Income for help in underdeveloped countries, this would solve the
problem. At this moment, only the Netherlands is doing this. Who follows?

Asking for more details just shows resistance to the idea.

Rene
Herb Schaltegger - 25 Sep 2005 14:19 GMT
> As discussed in the UN, if all rich nations would use 0,7% of their Gross
> National Income for help in underdeveloped countries, this would solve the
> problem.

How, exactly?  I see you didn't answer the question, most likely
because you don't know.  The old saying, "Give a man a fish and he eats
for a day.  Teach a man to fish and he'll feed himself forever," comes
to mind.

So what, exactly, are you proposing to do with all the nations of the
world's national treasure and resources?

> At this moment, only the Netherlands is doing this. Who follows?

So what's that coming to?  About a buck ninety five?  And how much
measurable progress is coming out of the Dutch efforts?  And how does
their contribution compare to what the rest of the world has devoted
financially to undeveloped countries since, oh say 1970 or so?

> Asking for more details just shows resistance to the idea.

No, it shows justifiable cynicism.  That you cannot provide any details
shows typical Euro-liberal utopianism unencumbered by fact.  Stop
spouting off like an assclown and provide some facts.  

YOU make a proposal, YOU explain how it's supposed to work.

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Barbara Needham - 25 Sep 2005 15:42 GMT
> it is not a hypothetical budget saving. I say: don't stop the war in Iraq,
> just leave 1 day earlier than planned and use the money for that last day to
> solve the hunger problem.

1. How can you know when it is one day earlier than planned?
2. How can you know that if you leave one day earlier than planned, that
money will be there?
3. How do you know that money will solve the hunger problem? It is more
complex than just financial.
4. And what does this have to do with NASA? THEY are not fighting in
Iraq.
Brian Thorn - 24 Sep 2005 19:54 GMT
>Well... there is a plan for the military that helps us all. Withdraw from
>Iraq one (1 !) day earlier than planned... this will generate enough budget
>to solve the hunger problem in Africa _for ever_ !!!!!

The problem of hunger in Africa is not financial, it is political.
Ending the war in Iraq will have no effect on African poverty
whatsoever.

Brian
David Ball - 28 Sep 2005 22:20 GMT
>>Well... there is a plan for the military that helps us all. Withdraw from
>>Iraq one (1 !) day earlier than planned... this will generate enough budget
[quoted text clipped - 5 lines]
>
>Brian

Ending the war in Iraq is a nice ideal, but once it was started, we
have no choice but to follow through or end up with a civil war over
there and probably part of Iraq annexed by Iran (with it's nuclear
ambitions). Too many things have been de-stabilized by the war.

Also, the Kurds would almost certainly end up with their own state,
which they probably deserve, but Turkey vehemently opposes so we'd
probably end up having to protect them from Turkey, which is supposed
to be a NATO ally, IIRC.

Looking at the mess in the region, expect our soldiers to stay longer
than planned, not less than planned.

There are also the questions of how long the Saudi government will
hold out and whether someone will bomb Iran's nuclear facilities,
bringing one or both into the mess.  The Russians won't be too happy
if someone bombs the Iranian facilities either but getting rid of that
stupid bill that keeps NASA and others from paying the Russians for
anything and increasing our economic ties with them would probably
make them happier about the situation. Maybe we could buy some of
those nice non-nuclear submarines the Russians are exporting and help
counteract the Chinese submarine buildup.

-- David
Bob Haller - 28 Sep 2005 22:29 GMT
Theres a bill to allow NASA to buy stuff from Russia to support ISS. It
appears a shoe in for approval.

On a not good news note, we will never fix Iraq, the NEXT pres will
have to withdraw us from the mess. So sad another Vietnam.

Bush is a complete failure as a commander and chief, he didnt
understand the situation:( Worse he didnt provide enough troops to
provide security after saddam was removed. Iraq is currently having a
low level civil war, and its not getting better...

Bush the failure president:(
 
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