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A iinteresting idea!

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bob haller - 28 Aug 2004 12:32 GMT
We aerent allowed to buy hardware from russia because of those plants they
build for bad purposes.

Russia does it to make money.

So what we do is tell Russia clean up your act and stop immediately building
them. How many $$ were you selling?

We will buy that many dollars worth of space hardware and launch services:)
Paid for NOT by the US space budget:) But by anothetr budget line for general
world stability.Diplomatic type thing!

True it would take time to ramp up production... But that gives us time to plan
future uses!

Now I wonder what that could buy us?

Extra soyuz at station NO TROUBLE!
Finish station NO TROUBLE!
New station at a better location NO TROUBLE

You get the general idea, and whats best is its not paid for by space dollars!
Now US cointractors wouldnt be happy:(  Except although it would decimate over
time launch services like booster building we use the current space $ for
building the probes that go on top of the now plentiful progresses.Plus it
gives us soyuz for crew rotation and a early shuttle retirement.

heck build progresses in russia and ship to KSC for launching lots of robot
probes.

WIN WIN FOR EVERYONE!

Russia behaves itself
Less chance of terrorism
Keeps russia busy doing something productive
Replaces shuttle fast
Space operations increase dramatically:):)
Doesnt hurt US companies (since the same money build probes rather than
boosters)

Now if this did occur, having a plentiful supply of progresses and soyuz what
sorts of jobs could we do in space?

HAVE A GREAT DAY!
EAC - 29 Aug 2004 01:22 GMT
> We aerent allowed to buy hardware from russia because of those plants they
> build for bad purposes.

Interestingly, while the government of the U.S.A. can't, the 'private'
sector can easily can. Are you sure that this ban wasn't done to limit
the power of the U.S.A. government?

> Russia does it to make money.

I don't think so, if the target is money, they probably would rather
sell 'expensive' space hardware to the U.S.A. government space
programs.

Russia seem to do built the plants because THAT is what they're
ordered to do. The question is, who ordered Russia to do that? Chances
are, the same people who ordered the U.S.A. government to do not buy
Russian space hardware because the Russian government build those
plants.

> So what we do is tell Russia clean up your act and
> stop immediately building them.

That is what the U.S.A. government did.

> How many $$ were you selling?

Don't think that money is the target here, the actual target seems to
be to sour the relationship between countries. Heck, if the target is
money, why Russia bother doing small thing to a small country when
they can sell more stuff to an even bigger country?

Another example is Japan, Taiwan, and China in regarding the
Shinkansen case. Why the heck would Japan risked the opportunity to
make big bucks with China by making a small buck with Taiwan? I assume
that the people behind this is the same too.

> WIN WIN FOR EVERYONE!

The problem is that... 'they' don't want everyone to win, that's why
'they' are always make sure that people will fight each other. Why do
you think the Olympic games in Greece was done? To make people fight
each other!

> HAVE A GREAT DAY!
Jorge R. Frank - 29 Aug 2004 06:43 GMT
> We aerent allowed to buy hardware from russia because of those plants
> they build for bad purposes.
[quoted text clipped - 7 lines]
> services:) Paid for NOT by the US space budget:) But by anothetr
> budget line for general world stability.Diplomatic type thing!

Of course, if you had even a shred of historical awareness, you would know
that this was exactly the line of reasoning that led the Clinton
administration to invite the Russians into ISS in the first place, way back
in 1993. Russia was already proliferating to Iran at the time; inviting
them into ISS was seen as a kind of "midnight basketball" to provide them
financial incentives to stop doing so.

Obviously, it didn't work. Russia gladly took the US money and continued to
proliferate to Iran anyway. They knew they could get away with it because
the US stupidly put them in the critical path of station assembly. The US
belatedly learned Rule One of Blackmail: Reward a blackmailer, and your
reward will be more blackmail.

Hence, the Iran Nonproliferation Act of 2000.
Signature

JRF

Reply-to address spam-proofed - to reply by E-mail,
check "Organization" (I am not assimilated) and
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Revision - 29 Aug 2004 11:37 GMT
There is a good article in New Yorker a couple of months back that
details effort of the IAEA to get the Iranians to play ball.  Most of the
communications from Iran are subsequently found to be half-truths, overly
literal, obfuscation.  I am not greatly impressed by the sort of immature
bullshit that the Iranians employ...not really very clever.  Well, more
clever than Bob Haller.  Unsophisticated, not completely stupid.

The article further descibes how there is not a distinct central
authority in Iran; each dept makes up its own rules as it goes along, so
one can have the energy ministry leaning anti-bomb, while the technology
ministry is pro-bomb, and so on.
Andrey Tarasevich - 30 Aug 2004 21:56 GMT
>> We will buy that many dollars worth of space hardware and launch
>> services:) Paid for NOT by the US space budget:) But by anothetr
[quoted text clipped - 6 lines]
> them into ISS was seen as a kind of "midnight basketball" to provide them
> financial incentives to stop doing so.

No, of course, if you had even a shred of the aforementioned awareness,
you would know that Russian participation in ISS was an absolutely
required pre-condition for this progect to receive financing from the
Congress. The logic was very simple: US will initiate and finance its
own share in a Russian-led project with the only purpose to give a
second-life to its aging and more and more obviously aimless Space
Shuttle program. (And, as always, get some bragging rights. Sometimes it
looks like it is considered to be even more important.) That's actually
the main reason that prevents US from buying space hardware from Russia:
it will eventually defeat the main purpose with with US got itself into
the project in the first place. As long as there are forces in the US
lobbying for keeping the shuttles on life support, there will be no
purchases from Russia.

> Obviously, it didn't work. Russia gladly took the US money and continued to
> proliferate to Iran anyway. They knew they could get away with it because
> the US stupidly put them in the critical path of station assembly.

Russians are not "in the critical path of station assembly". They are
"station assembly". Actually, without Russians the actual assembly would
be out of question completely, since the project wouldn't be more than
some guy's pipe dream.

Signature

Best regards,
Andrey Tarasevich

Herb Schaltegger - 30 Aug 2004 23:05 GMT
> Russians are not "in the critical path of station assembly". They are
> "station assembly". Actually, without Russians the actual assembly would
> be out of question completely, since the project wouldn't be more than
> some guy's pipe dream.

Sorry, no.  Only in your wistfully deluded post-Soviet fantasies.

"The project" was Space Station Freedom and I was working on it at the
time.  Detailed design was complete, Critical Design Review was
complete, hardware was being fabricated and if the Russians hadn't sold
NASA on use of the FGB, Lockheed could have (and would have, I'm sure)
fab'd another Service Module(*) or two to provide the same functions -
google for the details if you're really interested.

Russian participation was ALWAYS political.  It was NEVER technical.  In
fact, moving the orbit to its present inclination was due to Russian
inability to launch substantial payloads to the SSF orbital inclination
from Baikonur.  That change both *allowed* Russian participation in the
first place and enhanced its role at the same time by reducing STS
payload so as to require more Russian launches.

It would really help your credibility to know what the hell you're
talking about before you post.

(*) Rumored at the time of the LMSC proposal to be a modified version of
the core spacecraft bus in use for their NRO payloads.

Signature

Herb Schaltegger, B.S., J.D.
"Never underestimate the power of human stupidity."
  ~ Robert A. Heinlein
<http://www.angryherb.net>

Andrey Tarasevich - 31 Aug 2004 00:01 GMT
> ...
>> Russians are not "in the critical path of station assembly". They are
[quoted text clipped - 12 lines]
>
> Russian participation was ALWAYS political.  It was NEVER technical.  

Well, while despite what you are trying (or are required) to say, it is
an obvious fact that russian participation was always heavily technical.
I can only offer a patronizing smile in response to those who claim the
contrary _today_.

Nevertheless, the first part of my message (that you convenietly omitted
form the quote) clearly explained the _political_ portion of russian
role in ISS. Lockheed could have dreamt about fabricating anything as
much as it wanted, it could have buried itself in "designs", but the
project would never have taken off (i.e. there would never be any
financing for american portion of ISS program) without russian agreement
to participate. That was the political role Russians played in the
project. Not some stupid iranian plants.

> In
> fact, moving the orbit to its present inclination was due to Russian
> inability to launch substantial payloads to the SSF orbital inclination
> from Baikonur. That change both *allowed* Russian participation in the
> first place and enhanced its role at the same time by reducing STS
> payload so as to require more Russian launches.

I don't see how this support your view, since it supports mine as much
as it does yours.

> It would really help your credibility to know what the hell you're
> talking about before you post.

Likewise.

Signature

Best regards,
Andrey Tarasevich

Herb Schaltegger - 31 Aug 2004 00:28 GMT
> Well, while despite what you are trying (or are required) to say,

"Required"?  By whom?  The KGB or its Russian Federation successor
organization?  Sorry, again, no. You may have experience in some
authority dictating the contents of your posts but I do not.

> it is
> an obvious fact that russian participation was always heavily technical.
> I can only offer a patronizing smile in response to those who claim the
> contrary _today_.

What were you working on in the summer of 1993 when Russia was invited
aboard the program?  Me, I was designing life support equipment now in
use on the U.S. Lab and Nodes.  You clearly have no idea what you're
talking about.

> Nevertheless, the first part of my message (that you convenietly omitted
> form the quote) clearly explained the _political_ portion of russian
> role in ISS. Lockheed could have dreamt about fabricating anything as
> much as it wanted, it could have buried itself in "designs",

Every time an American spysat overflies Holy Mother Russia, you can
thank Lockheed and the core spacecraft bus which could easily have been
used in place of FGB.  Not much "dreaming" there.

> but the
> project would never have taken off (i.e. there would never be any
> financing for american portion of ISS program) without russian agreement
> to participate.

Oh, please.  The U.S. Congress had already provided probably $3 - $4
billion on SSF by then - with hardware flying now to prove it - before
Russia was invited to join.  

> That was the political role Russians played in the
> project. Not some stupid iranian plants.

Sure.  Better to have them building space stations that they couldn't
afford on their own than to be helping Iranians building nuclear-capable
missiles.  Too bad they decided to do both.  The Lockheed Service Module
would have been cheaper in terms of both dollars and political capital.

> > In
> > fact, moving the orbit to its present inclination was due to Russian
[quoted text clipped - 10 lines]
>
> Likewise.

I do know what I'm talking about because I was there working on the the
American portion of SSF (which was quite a bit more complete than you
seem to think or will allow).  You - obviously - were not.

Signature

Herb Schaltegger, B.S., J.D.
"Never underestimate the power of human stupidity."
  ~ Robert A. Heinlein
<http://www.angryherb.net>

Jorge R. Frank - 31 Aug 2004 05:13 GMT
>>> We will buy that many dollars worth of space hardware and launch
>>> services:) Paid for NOT by the US space budget:) But by anothetr
[quoted text clipped - 11 lines]
> absolutely required pre-condition for this progect to receive
> financing from the Congress.

Nope, it's your awareness that's faulty, not mine. The sole political pre-
condition of *whatever* space station plan NASA came up with in 1993-94 was
that it save money. Congress didn't particularly care *how*. The idea of a
Russian partnership was a bit of a political Rorschach test; the perceived
benefit depended on who was doing the perceiving. While publicly sold as a
cost-saving move, the Clinton administration saw it as a way to back-
channel Russian aid without going through the State Department; Congress
saw it as a way to keep the Russian aerospace industry out of mischief,
especially with regard to Iran; and NASA saw it as a way to get permanent
manned capability sooner, not to mention making the project politically
invulnerable.

In the end, the only perception even partially correct was NASA's: adding
the Russians did indeed make ISS politically invulnerable, by solidifying
support among congressional Democrats who had previously been hostile
towards Space Station Freedom. The other *real* benefit of Russian
involvement was to increase the redundancy in the station design: each
nation's systems have so far nicely compensated the weaknesses in the
other's, and has made the station capable of surviving supply disruptions
by either of the two countries (Russia 1998-2000; US 2003-2005).

> Russians are not "in the critical path of station assembly". They are
> "station assembly".

Incorrect. Two-thirds of the current station mass and almost all of its
electrical power are from the US. The remaining Russian hardware for ISS is
vaporware, nothing more; the US hardware is sitting complete at KSC, simply
waiting for a ride.

> Actually, without Russians the actual assembly
> would be out of question completely, since the project wouldn't be
> more than some guy's pipe dream.

I am coming around to the opinion that it should have *remained* some guy's
pipe dream. Had the program been cancelled in the 1993-94 timeframe, NASA
would have been forced into the kind of institutional reform that we are
only now seeing in the wake of the Columbia accident. NASA would probably
be better off for it today.

(Don't think that Russia would have benefited from this, either: absent
ISS, Shuttle-Mir would not have continued beyond the first docking in 1995.
That would have meant no $400 million transfusion to Mir, no Spektr module,
no Priroda module, no docking module - and quite likely, a Mir deorbit due
to lack of funds in the mid to late 90's rather than in 2001.)

Signature

JRF

Reply-to address spam-proofed - to reply by E-mail,
check "Organization" (I am not assimilated) and
think one step ahead of IBM.

MORAGAWEBCAM - 31 Aug 2004 17:39 GMT
>Subject: Re: A iinteresting idea!

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